Aston Villa

Premier League · 16th · 4 pts · GD -5

LLDLW

Aston Villa are 16th in Premier League, 1-1-3, with 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded a game — and the goals against are the story of the season.

Next match

Oct 10 · 10:00 AM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

10:00 AM ET

Proj1.4–1.5

Match page →

Aston VillaHOME35%1.4proj+184fair+177mkt-0.9%

Draw27%—proj+272fair+271mkt-0.1%

BrentfordAWAY38%1.5proj+164fair+171mkt+0.9%

O2.5 56% · mkt 56%BTTS 60%1H O1.5 38%

USA Net · Universo

This season

Premier League · 2026-27

Record1-1-35 played

Scored0.804 goals

Conceded1.809 against

Clean sheets1Of 5 matches

Both scored40%Of their matches

Over 2.560%Three goals or more

Home0-0-21–32 matches

Away1-1-13–63 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win3-260%

Over 2.53-260%

Both to score3-260%

Every pick the model made on Aston Villa this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 5 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full Premier League table

#ClubPGDPts

Nottingham Forest5-15

Sunderland5-44

Crystal Palace5-54

Aston Villa5-54

AFC Bournemouth5-23

Coventry City5-93

Fulham5-32

Aston Villa's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Aston Villa sit 16th on 4 points after 5 matches. That's -1 places clear of the drop, which is close enough to watch. That's 0.80 points a game.

Going forward

Aston Villa have scored 4 goals in 5 matches — 0.8 a game. That's a real problem going forward, and it shows up in how their totals get priced. 60% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Aston Villa have conceded 9 goals, 1.8 a game. That's leaky enough to cost them points they'd otherwise take. They've kept 1 clean sheet — 20% of their matches.

Next up

Aston Villa are at home to Brentford. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 6 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.