Valencia

La Liga · 19th · 4 pts · GD -9

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Valencia are 19th in La Liga, 1-1-5, with 0.57 scored and 1.86 conceded a game — and the goals against are the story of the season.

Next match

Oct 11 · 3:00 PM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

3:00 PM ET

Proj1.9–1.5

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Racing SantanderHOME46%1.9proj+119fair+140mktModel lean+4.2%

Draw24%—proj+316fair+272mkt-2.8%

ValenciaAWAY30%1.5proj+231fair+217mkt-1.4%

O2.5 66% · mkt 57%BTTS 67%1H O1.5 46%

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This season

La Liga · 2026-27

Record1-1-57 played

Scored0.574 goals

Conceded1.8613 against

Clean sheets2Of 7 matches

Both scored29%Of their matches

Over 2.543%Three goals or more

Home0-1-32–94 matches

Away1-0-22–43 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win4-357%

Over 2.55-271%

Both to score2-529%

Every pick the model made on Valencia this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 7 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full La Liga table

#ClubPGDPts

Celta Vigo7+27

Espanyol707

Racing Santander7-107

Levante6-45

Elche7-65

Valencia7-94

Málaga7-93

Valencia's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Valencia sit 19th on 4 points after 7 matches. That's in the relegation places, and there are 20 clubs in this league. That's 0.57 points a game.

Going forward

The attack has produced 4 goals across 7 matches — 0.57 a game. That's a real problem going forward, and it shows up in how their totals get priced. 43% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Valencia have conceded 13 goals, 1.86 a game. That's the number holding the season back. They've kept 2 clean sheets — 29% of their matches.

Better on the road

Valencia are 1-0-2 away and 0-1-3 at home. That's 1.00 points a game against 0.25. Road teams don't outperform home form over a full season, so expect this one to even out.

The shape of their games

Their matches sit close to the league norm for goals. Both teams have scored in 29% of Valencia's matches, and 43% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.

How the model has done on them

The goal model has called 7 matches involving Valencia this season and got 4 right — 57%. A three-way market makes a blind guess hard, so on this sample that's real — with the caveat that the sample is small. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 7 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.

Next up

Valencia are away at Racing Santander. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 4 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.

Common questions

Where are Valencia in the La Liga table?

Valencia are 19th on 4 points from 7 matches, with 4 goals scored and 13 goals conceded.

How many goals do Valencia score a game?

Valencia are averaging 0.57 goals a game this season and conceding 1.86. 43% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.

How many clean sheets have Valencia kept?

2 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Does MatchWiz predict Valencia matches?

Every Valencia fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 7 matches of theirs this season and got 4 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.