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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

38plays today19strong22–12graded so far3final · awaiting grade
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  1. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGSidney Crosby · Shots on goalWPG at PITWizLine67% · 2.0 SOGBook48% +100betmgm+19.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  2. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGErik Karlsson · Shots on goalWPG at PITWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook50% −114fanduel+18.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  3. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCarter Yakemchuk · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook56% −160betmgm+14.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  4. NHLWPG under 2.5Winnipeg Jets · Team totalWPG at PITWizLine52%Book38% +107williamhill us+14.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-2✓—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDmitry Orlov · Shots on goalSJS at DALWizLine72% · 1.0 SOGBook60% −190betmgm+12.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-5✓—
  6. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGRickard Rakell · Shots on goalWPG at PITWizLine57% · 2.4 SOGBook46% +110betmgm+11.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  7. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGDavid Pastrnak · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine68% · 2.8 SOGBook58% −145betmgm+10.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  8. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDrake Batherson · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine67% · 2.0 SOGBook56% −144fanduel+10.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  9. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCole Perfetti · Shots on goalWPG at PITWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −155draftkings+10.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  10. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGIvar Stenberg · Shots on goalSJS at DALWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook50% −120betmgm+10.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-5✓—
  11. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNino Niederreiter · Shots on goalWPG at PITWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook55% −155betmgm+9.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2awaiting grade—
  12. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTrevor Zegras · Shots on goalPHI at TBLWizLine53% · 1.8 SOGBook44% +100betmgm+9.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✗—
  13. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGWarren Foegele · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook50% −111betmgm+9.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  14. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJohn Carlson · Shots on goalPHI at TBLWizLine70% · 1.9 SOGBook60% −185draftkings+9.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✓—
  15. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPavel Zacha · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook47% +100betmgm+9.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBrayden Point · Shots on goalPHI at TBLWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook57% −160betmgm+9.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✗—
  17. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGHampus Lindholm · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook57% −160betmgm+8.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✗—
  18. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNikita Kucherov · Shots on goalPHI at TBLWizLine49% · 2.8 SOGBook40% +132fanduel+8.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✓—
  19. NHLOver 1.5 SOGJordan Spence · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine54% · 1.8 SOGBook46% +100betmgm+8.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✗—
  20. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJJ Peterka · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine47% · 1.8 SOGBook40% +130betmgm+6.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  21. NHLOver 1.5 SOGChristian Dvorak · Shots on goalPHI at TBLWizLine52% · 1.8 SOGBook45% +115draftkings+6.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✗—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGLuca Cagnoni · Shots on goalSJS at DALWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook53% −120betmgm+6.2%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-5✓—
  23. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGThomas Harley · Shots on goalSJS at DALWizLine51% · 1.7 SOGBook45% +110betmgm+6.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-5✓—
  24. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMiro Heiskanen · Shots on goalSJS at DALWizLine46% · 1.8 SOGBook40% +130betmgm+6.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-5✗—
  25. NHLPIT −1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck lineWPG at PITWizLine46%Book40% +145draftkings+5.9%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal 3-2✗—
  26. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylineWPG at PITWizLine67%Book61% −173williamhill us+5.8%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 3-2✗—
  27. NHLOver 1.5 SOGShane Pinto · Shots on goalOTT at BOSWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook61% −182fanduel+5.8%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  28. NHLOTT under 3.5Ottawa Senators · Team totalOTT at BOSWizLine56%Book51% −182williamhill us+5.5%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-1awaiting grade—
  29. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJamie Drysdale · Shots on goalPHI at TBLWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook61% −190draftkings+5.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✓—
  30. NHLUnder 6.5SJS at DAL · Game totalSJS at DALWizLine57%Book52% −115fanduel+5.0%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 0-5✓—
  31. MLBTB MLTampa Bay Rays · MoneylineNYY at TBWizLine52%Book47% +105+4.9%leanUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 2-5✓—
  32. NHLOver 5.5OTT at BOS · Game totalOTT at BOSWizLine58%Book53% −115fanatics+4.7%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 4-1✗—
  33. NHLPIT under 3.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Team totalWPG at PITWizLine47%Book43% −112fanduel+4.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-2awaiting grade—
  34. NHLDAL under 3.5Dallas Stars · Team totalSJS at DALWizLine55%Book51% −104fanduel+4.5%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 0-5✗—
  35. NHLOTT −1.5Ottawa Senators · Puck lineOTT at BOSWizLine34%Book31% +215draftkings+3.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal 4-1✓—
  36. NHLSJS under 2.5San Jose Sharks · Team totalSJS at DALWizLine49%Book45% −108williamhill us+3.4%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 0-5✓—
  37. NHLOTT MLOttawa Senators · MoneylineOTT at BOSWizLine54%Book51% −114williamhill us+3.0%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 4-1✓—
  38. GolfVidantaWorld Mexico OpenAndrew Novak Top 10Andrew Novak · Top 10VidantaWorld Mexico Open · VidantaWorld Mexico OpenWizLine20%Book19% +430fanduel+1.6%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.won't be graded—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.