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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

51plays today18strong28–20graded so far3final · awaiting grade
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  1. MLBUnder 6.5 KBlake Snell · Strikeouts O/UATL at LADWizLine4.6 KBook6.5 +105+1.9 Klean45% on 60 plays since Jun 24 · −20.6% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)5 K · done✓—
  2. MLBUnder 6.5 KLogan Henderson · Strikeouts O/USD at MILWizLine4.8 KBook6.5 −166+1.8 Klean45% on 60 plays since Jun 24 · −20.6% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)4 K · done✓—
  3. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTristan Luneau · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine68% · 1.2 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+16.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  4. NHLVAN under 2.5Vancouver Canucks · Team totalVGK at VANWizLine53%Book37% −134williamhill us+15.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-2awaiting grade—
  5. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team totalVGK at VANWizLine49%Book35% +116fanduel+13.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-2✓—
  6. NHLWPG under 3.5Winnipeg Jets · Team totalWPG at DETWizLine64%Book51%+13.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-2✓—
  7. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGCutter Gauthier · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine66% · 2.9 SOGBook54% −135draftkings+12.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  8. NHLSEA under 3.5Seattle Kraken · Team totalCGY at SEAWizLine59%Book47% −148fanduel+11.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-6✗—
  9. NHLFLA under 3.5Florida Panthers · Team totalFLA at ANAWizLine56%Book44% −125betmgm+11.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  10. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGPavel Dorofeyev · Shots on goalUTA at NYRWizLine57% · 2.4 SOGBook46% +114fanduel+11.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  11. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLucas Raymond · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook54% −135fanduel+11.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  12. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMikael Backlund · Shots on goalCGY at SEAWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook56% −144fanduel+10.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  13. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBen Chiarot · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook55% −210draftkings+9.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  14. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNino Niederreiter · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook54% −135betmgm+9.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  15. NHLCGY under 2.5Calgary Flames · Team totalCGY at SEAWizLine48%Book38% −110williamhill us+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-6awaiting grade—
  16. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Fox · Shots on goalUTA at NYRWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+9.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  17. MLBNRFISD at MIL · 1st inning · NRFISD at MILWizLine66%Book57% −150+9.4%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 1 R✗—
  18. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGFilip Hronek · Shots on goalVGK at VANWizLine54% · 1.6 SOGBook45% +110draftkings+9.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  19. MLBNRFIATL at LAD · 1st inning · NRFIATL at LADWizLine64%Book55% −142+8.9%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 1 R✗—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGViktor Arvidsson · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook52% −122fanduel+8.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  21. NHLOver 1.5 SOGViggo Björck · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine51% · 1.8 SOGBook43% +145draftkings+8.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGYegor Sharangovich · Shots on goalCGY at SEAWizLine48% · 1.8 SOGBook40% +122fanduel+8.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  23. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMarco Rossi · Shots on goalVGK at VANWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook52% −118fanduel+7.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  24. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMoritz Seider · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine64% · 2.1 SOGBook56% −152fanduel+7.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  25. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGGabe Perreault · Shots on goalUTA at NYRWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook52% −120betmgm+7.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  26. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGLars Eller · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine67% · 1.2 SOGBook60% −175betmgm+7.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  27. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJ.T. Miller · Shots on goalUTA at NYRWizLine49% · 1.7 SOGBook42% +130betmgm+7.2%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  28. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBrock Boeser · Shots on goalVGK at VANWizLine67% · 2.0 SOGBook60% −176fanduel+7.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✓—
  29. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGShea Theodore · Shots on goalVGK at VANWizLine49% · 1.8 SOGBook42% +126fanduel+6.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  30. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMika Zibanejad · Shots on goalUTA at NYRWizLine58% · 2.4 SOGBook51% −110draftkings+6.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  31. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMikael Granlund · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine60% · 2.1 SOGBook53% −135draftkings+6.8%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  32. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGLinus Karlsson · Shots on goalVGK at VANWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+6.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  33. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMark Stone · Shots on goalVGK at VANWizLine64% · 2.1 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+6.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  34. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJosh Morrissey · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine46% · 1.9 SOGBook39% +145draftkings+6.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  35. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnton Lundell · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook57% −140draftkings+6.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  36. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGRyan Poehling · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook54% −130draftkings+6.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  37. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGAlex DeBrincat · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine61% · 3.2 SOGBook55% −144fanduel+5.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  38. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGEmmitt Finnie · Shots on goalWPG at DETWizLine54% · 1.6 SOGBook48% −110betmgm+5.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  39. NHLNYR under 3.5New York Rangers · Team totalUTA at NYRWizLine63%Book57% −164williamhill us+5.7%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-4✗—
  40. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBrad Marchand · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine57% · 2.0 SOGBook51% −110draftkings+5.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  41. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAaron Ekblad · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook57% −160betmgm+5.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3awaiting grade—
  42. NHLOver 1.5 SOGSeth Jones · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine53% · 1.8 SOGBook47% +115draftkings+5.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  43. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKaapo Kakko · Shots on goalCGY at SEAWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook54% −205draftkings+5.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  44. MLBATL Over 2.5Atlanta Braves · Team totalATL at LADWizLine4.1 runsBook2.5 −154draftkings+1.56 runslean59% on 211 plays since Jun 24 · +5.5% ROI · no better than betting every over (60%)Final 3-2✓—
  45. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJared McCann · Shots on goalCGY at SEAWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook57% −154fanduel+5.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  46. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGBrady Tkachuk · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine63% · 3.1 SOGBook58% −145betmgm+5.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  47. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGOliver Bjorkstrand · Shots on goalUTA at NYRWizLine58% · 1.5 SOGBook53% −140draftkings+5.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  48. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMatthew Tkachuk · Shots on goalFLA at ANAWizLine54% · 2.5 SOGBook49% −110draftkings+5.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  49. NHLUTA +1.5Utah Mammoth · Puck lineUTA at NYRWizLine69%Book65% −245draftkings+4.4%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal 2-4✗—
  50. NHLUTA MLUtah Mammoth · MoneylineUTA at NYRWizLine49%Book44% +100betmgm+4.2%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 2-4✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.