MatchWiz

WizEdge Dashboard

Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

170plays today73strong89–72graded so far9final · awaiting grade
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  1. NHLNSH under 3.5Nashville Predators · Team totalVGK at NSHWizLine70%Book41% −190williamhill us+29.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-2✓—
  2. NHLCHI under 3.5Chicago Blackhawks · Team totalPIT at CHIWizLine70%Book40% −140betmgm+29.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-5✗—
  3. NHLLAK under 3.5Los Angeles Kings · Team totalEDM at LAKWizLine67%Book40% −190fanduel+26.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-1✓—
  4. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Jiricek · Shots on goalSTL at OTTWizLine67% · 1.2 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+19.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-2✗—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGSam Colangelo · Shots on goalCGY at ANAWizLine68% · 1.2 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+18.1%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  6. NHLFLA under 3.5Florida Panthers · Team totalFLA at CBJWizLine68%Book51% +116williamhill us+17.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 7-3✗—
  7. NHLNJD under 3.5New Jersey Devils · Team totalNJD at DETWizLine67%Book50% −120betmgm+16.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 5-4✗—
  8. NHLMIN under 3.5Minnesota Wild · Team totalMIN at WPGWizLine64%Book49% −110betmgm+15.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-5✓—
  9. NHLTBL under 3.5Tampa Bay Lightning · Team totalTBL at NYRWizLine60%Book44% −132williamhill us+15.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-4✓—
  10. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMichael Kesselring · Shots on goalBOS at SJSWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+14.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✓—
  11. NHLTOR under 3.5Toronto Maple Leafs · Team totalTOR at UTAWizLine67%Book53% +120fanatics+14.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-5✗—
  12. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGIsak Rosen · Shots on goalMIN at WPGWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook51% −125draftkings+14.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  13. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGWilliam Carrier · Shots on goalWSH at CARWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook50% −120draftkings+13.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  14. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGRyan Pulock · Shots on goalVAN at NYIWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook56% −140draftkings+13.7%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  15. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAlex Ovechkin · Shots on goalWSH at CARWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −130betmgm+13.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  16. NHLOver 1.5 SOGKiefer Sherwood · Shots on goalBOS at SJSWizLine61% · 2.1 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+13.5%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✗—
  17. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCarter Yakemchuk · Shots on goalSTL at OTTWizLine68% · 1.2 SOGBook55% −130betmgm+13.4%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-2✗—
  18. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCole Perfetti · Shots on goalMIN at WPGWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook50% −105draftkings+13.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  19. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGPorter Martone · Shots on goalSEA at PHIWizLine73% · 1.8 SOGBook60% −185draftkings+13.0%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2✓—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJimmy Snuggerud · Shots on goalSTL at OTTWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook53% −122fanduel+12.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-2✓—
  21. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKaiden Guhle · Shots on goalBUF at MTLWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook59% −170draftkings+12.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-4✗—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGFrank Vatrano · Shots on goalCGY at ANAWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook51% −120draftkings+12.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  23. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVasily Podkolzin · Shots on goalEDM at LAKWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −130betmgm+12.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✗—
  24. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goalEDM at LAKWizLine54% · 2.5 SOGBook42% +125betmgm+12.1%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✗—
  25. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGWarren Foegele · Shots on goalSTL at OTTWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+11.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-2✓—
  26. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMatthew Wood · Shots on goalVGK at NSHWizLine58% · 1.5 SOGBook46% +105draftkings+11.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✓—
  27. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team totalVGK at NSHWizLine59%Book48% +105betmgm+11.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-2✗—
  28. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTrevor Zegras · Shots on goalSEA at PHIWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook47% +100betmgm+11.7%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2✓—
  29. UFCDana White's Contender SeriesWill Rentz to winWill Rentz · MoneylineWill Rentz vs Luis Francischinelli · Dana White's Contender SeriesWizLine43%Book32% +200betmgm+11.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✗—
  30. NHLEDM under 3.5Edmonton Oilers · Team totalEDM at LAKWizLine59%Book48% +100betmgm+11.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-1✗—
  31. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBrady Skjei · Shots on goalVGK at NSHWizLine68% · 1.2 SOGBook57% −160draftkings+11.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  32. NHLSTL under 3.5St. Louis Blues · Team totalSTL at OTTWizLine64%Book53% −118betmgm+11.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 7-2✗—
  33. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGFilip Forsberg · Shots on goalVGK at NSHWizLine55% · 2.5 SOGBook44% +115draftkings+10.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  34. NHLSEA MLSeattle Kraken · MoneylineSEA at PHIWizLine57%Book47% −105fanatics+10.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/SO 3-2✓—
  35. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTyson Foerster · Shots on goalSEA at PHIWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook52% −125betmgm+10.7%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2✓—
  36. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGKyle Palmieri · Shots on goalVAN at NYIWizLine61% · 2.2 SOGBook51% −115draftkings+10.5%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  37. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGZemgus Girgensons · Shots on goalTBL at NYRWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook53% −130draftkings+10.4%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✗—
  38. NHLNYR under 2.5New York Rangers · Team totalTBL at NYRWizLine44%Book34% −102williamhill us+10.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-4awaiting grade—
  39. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKent Johnson · Shots on goalFLA at CBJWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook46% +105betmgm+10.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-3✗—
  40. NHLBOS MLBoston Bruins · MoneylineBOS at SJSWizLine59%Book49% −126fanduel+10.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 6-3✓—
  41. NHLSJS under 3.5San Jose Sharks · Team totalBOS at SJSWizLine68%Book57% −179williamhill us+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-3✓—
  42. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGErik Cernak · Shots on goalTBL at NYRWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook60% −190betmgm+10.0%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✓—
  43. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBowen Byram · Shots on goalPIT at CHIWizLine62% · 1.3 SOGBook52% −120draftkings+10.0%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  44. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGVictor Hedman · Shots on goalTBL at NYRWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook60% −185draftkings+9.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✓—
  45. NHLPIT −1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck linePIT at CHIWizLine45%Book35% +160draftkings+9.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 49% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −18.6% ROIFinal 3-5awaiting grade—
  46. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBeckett Sennecke · Shots on goalCGY at ANAWizLine52% · 2.6 SOGBook43% +125draftkings+9.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  47. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJohn Carlson · Shots on goalTBL at NYRWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −165draftkings+9.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✗—
  48. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGRoss Colton · Shots on goalVGK at NSHWizLine55% · 1.5 SOGBook46% +105draftkings+9.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✓—
  49. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKris Letang · Shots on goalPIT at CHIWizLine57% · 1.5 SOGBook48% +100draftkings+9.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  50. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJared McCann · Shots on goalSEA at PHIWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook59% −170fanduel+9.1%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.