MatchWiz

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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

433plays today180strong137–251–33graded so far12final · awaiting grade
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  1. CFBCHSO +42.5Charleston Southern Buccaneers · SpreadCHSO at CLEMWizLine+6.0Book+42.5 −112+14.2 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 0-37awaiting grade—
  2. CFBCLEM under 48.5Clemson Tigers · Team totalCHSO at CLEMWizLine18.5Book48.5 −113+16.8 ptsstrongNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 0-37awaiting grade—
  3. CFBELON +34.5Elon Phoenix · SpreadELON at STANWizLine−0.5Book+34.5 −112+16.9 ptsstrongNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 7-34awaiting grade—
  4. CFBELON MLElon Phoenix · MoneylineELON at STANWizLine51%Book3% +3000+47.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 7-34✗—
  5. CFBSTAN under 45.5Stanford Cardinal · Team totalELON at STANWizLine19.5Book45.5 −130+14.3 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 7-34awaiting grade—
  6. CFBUnder 54.5CHSO at CLEM · Game totalCHSO at CLEMWizLine31.0Book54.5 −112+18.5 ptsstrongNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 0-37awaiting grade—
  7. CFBUnder 56.5ELON at STAN · Game totalELON at STANWizLine39.0Book56.5 −110+12.1 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 7-34awaiting grade—
  8. SoccerLa LigaLamine Yamal 6+ ShotsLamine Yamal · ShotsReal Betis v Barcelona · La LigaWizLine64.3%Book33.3% +200fanduel+30.9%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✗—
  9. SoccerLa LigaLamine Yamal 5+ ShotsLamine Yamal · ShotsReal Betis v Barcelona · La LigaWizLine78.5%Book51.2% −105fanduel+27.3%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✗—
  10. CFBTENN MLTennessee Volunteers · MoneylineALA at TENNWizLine54%Book27% +255+27.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 10-26✓—
  11. SoccerLigue 1Florian Thauvin 4+ ShotsFlorian Thauvin · ShotsTroyes v Lens · Ligue 1WizLine57.5%Book32.3% +210fanduel+25.2%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  12. CFBUNLV MLUNLV Rebels · MoneylineUNLV at AFWizLine77%Book53% −122+24.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 31-41✗—
  13. CFBPSU MLPenn State Nittany Lions · MoneylinePSU at MICHWizLine56%Book33% +190+23.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 18-21✗—
  14. CFBNIU MLNorthern Illinois Huskies · MoneylineNIU at WYOWizLine51%Book28% +235+22.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 23-41✗—
  15. SoccerLigue 1Florian Thauvin 5+ ShotsFlorian Thauvin · ShotsTroyes v Lens · Ligue 1WizLine37.9%Book16.7% +500fanduel+21.2%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  16. SoccerLigue 1Florian Thauvin 3+ ShotsFlorian Thauvin · ShotsTroyes v Lens · Ligue 1WizLine76.8%Book55.6% −125fanduel+21.2%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  17. CFBUL MLLouisiana Ragin' Cajuns · MoneylineTROY at ULWizLine79%Book58% −160+21.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 6-33✓—
  18. SoccerMLSAndrew Privett 1+ ShotsAndrew Privett · ShotsPhiladelphia Union v Charlotte FC · MLSWizLine40.9%Book20.0% +400fanduel+20.9%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–2=—
  19. SoccerMLSCarlo Holse 2+ Shots on TargetCarlo Holse · Shots on TargetMinnesota United FC v St. Louis CITY SC · MLSWizLine42.5%Book21.7% +360fanduel+20.8%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2=—
  20. SoccerLa LigaLamine Yamal 4+ ShotsLamine Yamal · ShotsReal Betis v Barcelona · La LigaWizLine89.4%Book68.8% −220fanduel+20.6%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✓—
  21. CFBIU MLIndiana Hoosiers · MoneylineOSU at IUWizLine63%Book44% +120+19.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 19-15✗—
  22. SoccerEPLHull City to winHull City · Match resultFulham v Hull City · EPLWizLine37.4%Book18.3%+19.1%strong34% on 115 plays since Feb 21 · +0.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 1–0✗—
  23. CFBRUTG MLRutgers Scarlet Knights · MoneylineRUTG at MDWizLine54%Book35% +168+19.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 37-30✓—
  24. CFBKSU MLKansas State Wildcats · MoneylineKU at KSUWizLine76%Book57% −150+18.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 24-35✓—
  25. SoccerSerie AAndy Diouf O0.5Andy Diouf · AssistsBologna v Internazionale · Serie AWizLine36.6%Book18.5% +440fanduel+18.0%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  26. SoccerLigue 1Marquinhos 1+ GoalsMarquinhos · Anytime ScorerStrasbourg v Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1WizLine29.6%Book11.8% +800fanduel+17.8%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3=—
  27. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNick Blankenburg · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine76% · 0.9 SOGBook58% −165draftkings+17.5%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  28. SoccerLa LigaLamine Yamal 1+ GoalsLamine Yamal · Anytime ScorerReal Betis v Barcelona · La LigaWizLine68.6%Book51.2% +100fanduel+17.3%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✓—
  29. SoccerSerie AHenrikh Mkhitaryan 3+ ShotsHenrikh Mkhitaryan · ShotsBologna v Internazionale · Serie AWizLine61.3%Book44.4% +125fanduel+16.9%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  30. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNils Lundkvist · Shots on goalDAL at CHIWizLine73% · 1.0 SOGBook57% −160draftkings+16.7%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✓—
  31. SoccerMLSCarlo Holse 1+ Shots on TargetCarlo Holse · Shots on TargetMinnesota United FC v St. Louis CITY SC · MLSWizLine76.5%Book60.0% −150fanduel+16.5%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2=—
  32. SoccerSerie AHenrikh Mkhitaryan 4+ ShotsHenrikh Mkhitaryan · ShotsBologna v Internazionale · Serie AWizLine39.0%Book22.7% +340fanduel+16.3%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  33. UFCUFC Fight NightNate Landwehr to winNate Landwehr · MoneylineMandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr · UFC Fight NightWizLine45%Book29% +235fanduel+16.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✗—
  34. SoccerEPLUnder 2.5 goalsFulham · Over/Under 2.5Fulham v Hull City · EPLWizLine61.6%Book45.6%+16.0%strong40% on 95 plays since Feb 21 · −24.6% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 1–0✓—
  35. UFCUFC Fight NightTanner Boser to winTanner Boser · MoneylineTanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz · UFC Fight NightWizLine49%Book33% +200betmgm+15.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✓—
  36. SoccerMLSBrian White 1+ GoalsBrian White · Anytime ScorerAustin FC v Vancouver Whitecaps · MLSWizLine64.4%Book48.8% +115fanduel+15.6%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–2✗—
  37. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNate Danielson · Shots on goalSJS at DETWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook55% −155betmgm+15.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-4✓—
  38. NHLTOR under 3.5Toronto Maple Leafs · Team totalNYI at TORWizLine62%Book47% −144fanduel+15.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-1✓—
  39. SoccerSerie ANapoli to winNapoli · Match resultVenezia v Napoli · Serie AWizLine66.8%Book51.8%+15.0%strong34% on 115 plays since Feb 21 · +0.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 1–0✗—
  40. SoccerBundesligaNico Schlotterbeck 1+ GoalsNico Schlotterbeck · Anytime Scorer1. FC Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund · BundesligaWizLine22.6%Book7.7% +1200draftkings+14.9%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–0✗—
  41. SoccerLigue 1Florian Thauvin 2+ Shots on TargetFlorian Thauvin · Shots on TargetTroyes v Lens · Ligue 1WizLine54.0%Book39.2% +155fanduel+14.8%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  42. SoccerEPLRayan Cherki 1+ GoalsRayan Cherki · Anytime ScorerManchester City v Ipswich Town · EPLWizLine45.9%Book31.3% +230fanatics+14.7%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2=—
  43. SoccerLigue 1Florian Thauvin 1+ GoalsFlorian Thauvin · Anytime ScorerTroyes v Lens · Ligue 1WizLine50.3%Book35.7% +190betmgm+14.6%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  44. SoccerLa LigaPau Cubarsí 1+ ShotsPau Cubarsí · ShotsReal Betis v Barcelona · La LigaWizLine49.1%Book34.5% +190fanduel+14.6%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✗—
  45. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPorter Martone · Shots on goalOTT at PHIWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook44% +105draftkings+14.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  46. SoccerEPLJohan Manzambi O0.5Johan Manzambi · AssistsNewcastle United v Aston Villa · EPLWizLine31.2%Book16.7% +500fanduel+14.5%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–1✗—
  47. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCarter Yakemchuk · Shots on goalOTT at PHIWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook52% −125betmgm+14.5%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  48. SoccerLigue 1Florian Thauvin 6+ ShotsFlorian Thauvin · ShotsTroyes v Lens · Ligue 1WizLine22.1%Book7.7% +1200fanduel+14.4%strong18% on 1438 plays · −41.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  49. UFCUFC Fight NightJulien LeBlanc to winJulien LeBlanc · MoneylineJulien LeBlanc vs Nick Galanti · UFC Fight NightWizLine31%Book17% +490draftkings+14.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · Submission✗—
  50. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBrendan Gallagher · Shots on goalVAN at TBLWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook51% −118betmgm+14.1%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.