MatchWiz

Best MLB fantasy points matchupsMonday, July 20, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, July 20, 2026 slate — ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Projected DK Points16.8 pts

Innings5.8
Strikeouts6.7
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.8
Hits / Walks6.3 / 1.2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

George Kirby's full player page →

Projected DK Points24.1 pts

Innings6.6
Strikeouts8.8
Win probability43%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks3.9 / 2.3

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Jacob Misiorowski's full player page →

Projected DK Points14.0 pts

Innings4.9
Strikeouts4.9
Win probability37%
Earned runs1.9
Hits / Walks4.2 / 1.4

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Kyle Leahy's full player page →

Projected DK Points19.1 pts

Innings5.2
Strikeouts7.3
Win probability39%
Earned runs1.9
Hits / Walks3.9 / 2.5

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Dylan Cease's full player page →

Projected DK Points18.2 pts

Innings5.8
Strikeouts7.1
Win probability36%
Earned runs2.9
Hits / Walks4.3 / 1.6

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Jacob deGrom's full player page →

Projected DK Points17.8 pts

Innings5.3
Strikeouts7
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.3
Hits / Walks4.1 / 2.1

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Payton Tolle's full player page →

Projected DK Points17.2 pts

Innings5.1
Strikeouts6.1
Win probability40%
Earned runs1.8
Hits / Walks4.5 / 1.3

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Joe Ryan's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.9 pts

Innings5
Strikeouts5.6
Win probability33%
Earned runs2.7
Hits / Walks4.8 / 2.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Ronel Blanco's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.6 pts

Innings5.3
Strikeouts4.8
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.7
Hits / Walks5 / 1.9

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Andrew Abbott's full player page →

Projected DK Points15.8 pts

Innings5.5
Strikeouts6.7
Win probability34%
Earned runs3.1
Hits / Walks4.8 / 2.2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Braxton Ashcraft's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.1 pts

Innings5
Strikeouts4.7
Win probability34%
Earned runs2.5
Hits / Walks4.4 / 2.3

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

José Soriano's full player page →

Projected DK Points15.1 pts

Innings4.6
Strikeouts5.9
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.1
Hits / Walks4 / 1.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Emmet Sheehan's full player page →

Projected DK Points11.8 pts

Innings4.3
Strikeouts5
Win probability32%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks4.2 / 1.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Andrew Alvarez's full player page →

Projected DK Points14.5 pts

Innings5
Strikeouts6.5
Win probability32%
Earned runs3
Hits / Walks5.5 / 1.5

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Ryan Weathers's full player page →

Projected DK Points11.4 pts

Innings5.3
Strikeouts4.1
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.8
Hits / Walks5.3 / 1.3

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Janson Junk's full player page →

Projected DK Points11.2 pts

Innings5.6
Strikeouts5.3
Win probability30%
Earned runs3.9
Hits / Walks6.7 / 1.3

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Kyle Freeland's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.8 pts

Innings4.9
Strikeouts5.8
Win probability33%
Earned runs2.6
Hits / Walks4.4 / 2.2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Jack Flaherty's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.3 pts

Innings5.8
Strikeouts5
Win probability36%
Earned runs2.9
Hits / Walks5.6 / 2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Shane Baz's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.2 pts

Innings4.8
Strikeouts5.5
Win probability34%
Earned runs2.5
Hits / Walks4.5 / 2.6

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Freddy Peralta's full player page →

Projected DK Points13.0 pts

Innings6.1
Strikeouts4.3
Win probability37%
Earned runs3
Hits / Walks5.1 / 1.6

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Tanner Bibee's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.8 pts

Innings5
Strikeouts5.1
Win probability33%
Earned runs2.7
Hits / Walks4.5 / 1.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Jameson Taillon's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.5 pts

Innings5.2
Strikeouts5.4
Win probability32%
Earned runs3.1
Hits / Walks6 / 1.1

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Cristopher Sánchez's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.3 pts

Innings4.9
Strikeouts4.6
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks5.3 / 1.1

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

JP Sears's full player page →

Projected DK Points12.2 pts

Innings5.6
Strikeouts4.5
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.9
Hits / Walks5.5 / 1.5

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Michael Wacha's full player page →

Projected DK Points9.9 pts

Innings5
Strikeouts4.4
Win probability31%
Earned runs3.1
Hits / Walks5.6 / 1.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Bryce Elder's full player page →

Projected DK Points9.7 pts

Innings4.5
Strikeouts3.7
Win probability33%
Earned runs2.3
Hits / Walks4.6 / 1.9

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Erick Fedde's full player page →

Projected DK Points8.7 pts

Innings4.6
Strikeouts4.6
Win probability27%
Earned runs3.5
Hits / Walks5.4 / 1.9

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Jeffrey Springs's full player page →

Projected DK Points9.5 pts

Innings4.7
Strikeouts4.3
Win probability30%
Earned runs3.1
Hits / Walks5 / 1.7

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Trevor McDonald's full player page →

Projected DK Points9.5 pts

Innings5
Strikeouts2.8
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.3
Hits / Walks4.9 / 0.9

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Nick Martinez's full player page →

Projected DK Points7.6 pts

Innings3.7
Strikeouts3.7
Win probability28%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks4.3 / 2

DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.

Mitch Bratt's full player page →

What the fantasy points board is

The Fantasy Points board projects a starter's projected DraftKings fantasy points. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His strikeout, outs, earned-run, hits and walks projections, composed via the DK pitcher formula.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Composed from the tuned pitcher boards, so it inherits their sharpness. A DFS tool, not a book market.

How to use it

The pitcher side of the DFS build — sort by value, then lock a top arm in the optimizer.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.