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Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, July 22, 2026 slate — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

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PROJ33 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitch
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate6.5% BB / BF

vs LHB4.0%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload8.8 BF

Expected batters faced8.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)4.2%1.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)17.3%1.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)12.5%1.0
4. Braden Montgomery (R)6.7%1.0
5. Andrew Benintendi (L)5.6%1.0
6. Tristan Peters (L)5.0%1.0
7. Chase Meidroth (R)9.1%1.0
8. Luisangel Acuña (R)5.1%1.0
9. Drew Romo (R)11.5%0.8

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tyler Alexander's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.3% BB / BF

vs LHB12.5%
vs RHB8.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.5 BF

Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)8.7%1.6
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)10.5%1.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)8.0%1.0
4. Cedric Mullins (L)9.8%1.0
5. Jonny DeLuca (R)4.3%1.0
6. Chandler Simpson (L)5.6%1.0
7. Ben Williamson (R)7.8%1.0
8. Taylor Walls (L)11.5%1.0
9. Nick Fortes (R)4.1%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Braydon Fisher's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB4.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.4 BF

Expected batters faced16.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)8.0%2.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R)10.3%2.0
3. Alex Bregman (R)8.3%2.0
4. Carson Kelly (R)9.2%2.0
5. Michael Busch (L)12.2%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)7.8%2.0
7. Ian Happ (L)14.0%2.0
8. Dansby Swanson (R)9.9%1.4
9. Kevin Alcántara (R)4.9%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Keider Montero's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB8.0%
vs RHB5.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Austin Martin (R)9.9%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)6.8%3.0
3. Ryan Jeffers (R)8.8%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)9.5%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)7.4%2.3
6. Victor Caratini (L)8.6%2.0
7. Kody Clemens (L)6.9%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)9.4%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)5.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Slade Cecconi's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB7.1%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)9.6%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)4.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)9.3%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.5%2.6
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)6.9%2.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)6.6%2.0
7. Jarren Duran (L)7.8%2.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)4.4%2.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R)7.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Dean Kremer's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.4% BB / BF

vs LHB7.0%
vs RHB8.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)7.2%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)9.9%3.0
3. Ernie Clement (R)3.8%3.0
4. George Springer (R)9.6%2.3
5. Daulton Varsho (L)8.1%2.0
6. Kazuma Okamoto (R)9.4%2.0
7. Brandon Valenzuela (L)9.4%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)5.3%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)6.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Griffin Jax's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.9% BB / BF

vs LHB5.4%
vs RHB6.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)10.8%3.0
2. Brayan Rocchio (L)7.2%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)10.2%3.0
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)12.2%3.0
5. David Fry (R)8.3%3.0
6. Travis Bazzana (L)10.8%2.4
7. Gabriel Arias (R)6.1%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)7.8%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)5.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Bailey Ober's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.7% BB / BF

vs LHB9.1%
vs RHB6.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.2 BF

Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jacob Wilson (R)5.2%3.0
2. Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.7%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)8.0%3.0
4. Colby Thomas (R)3.1%3.0
5. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R)8.5%3.0
6. Jonah Heim (L)6.7%3.0
7. Tommy White (R)8.5%3.0
8. Alika Williams (R)3.2%2.2
9. Henry Bolte (R)9.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Merrill Kelly's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB7.3%
vs RHB5.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)26.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.7 BF

Expected batters faced19.7
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. A.J. Ewing (L)9.5%3.0
2. Juan Soto (L)19.0%2.7
3. Bo Bichette (R)6.3%2.0
4. Francisco Lindor (L)8.3%2.0
5. Carson Benge (L)7.7%2.0
6. Luis Robert Jr. (R)7.1%2.0
7. Jared Young (L)7.4%2.0
8. Marcus Semien (R)7.4%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)6.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Logan Henderson's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.2% BB / BF

vs LHB6.6%
vs RHB5.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)5.8%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)8.7%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L)11.5%3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)8.9%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)10.3%3.0
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)11.6%2.1
7. Jared Triolo (R)9.4%2.0
8. Henry Davis (R)8.8%2.0
9. Billy Cook (R)2.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Gerrit Cole's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.0% BB / BF

vs LHB6.7%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)5.7%3.0
2. Cole Carrigg (L)13.6%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)6.0%3.0
4. Willi Castro (L)9.6%2.5
5. TJ Rumfield (L)10.2%2.0
6. Kyle Karros (R)12.1%2.0
7. Mickey Moniak (L)5.4%2.0
8. Troy Johnston (L)9.7%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)4.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Cade Cavalli's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB8.4%
vs RHB5.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)10.5%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)9.2%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)12.6%3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)8.3%2.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)6.1%2.0
6. Tyler Stephenson (R)9.0%2.0
7. Dane Myers (R)9.1%2.0
8. Edwin Arroyo (L)8.5%2.0
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)6.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Emerson Hancock's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.3% BB / BF

vs LHB7.6%
vs RHB7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)8.2%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)13.0%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)10.9%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)6.1%3.0
5. Edmundo Sosa (R)5.3%2.1
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)6.7%2.0
7. Brandon Marsh (L)6.2%2.0
8. Derek Hill (R)6.2%2.0
9. Bryson Stott (L)8.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Eric Lauer's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB5.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Gleyber Torres (R)12.1%3.0
2. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.9%3.0
3. Hao-Yu Lee (R)5.0%3.0
4. Dillon Dingler (R)4.9%3.0
5. Riley Greene (L)9.0%3.0
6. Spencer Torkelson (R)9.4%2.1
7. Matt Vierling (R)6.8%2.0
8. Ben Malgeri (R)8.5%2.0
9. Jake Rogers (R)9.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Colin Rea's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.8% BB / BF

vs LHB9.3%
vs RHB7.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)8.5%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (R)11.2%3.0
3. Tim Tawa (R)8.9%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)9.7%3.0
5. Ildemaro Vargas (R)4.1%2.6
6. Nolan Arenado (R)8.1%2.0
7. Tyler Locklear (R)8.3%2.0
8. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)8.5%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (R)9.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Gage Jump's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)16.9%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)5.4%3.0
3. José Tena (L)7.2%2.8
4. CJ Abrams (L)7.8%2.0
5. Curtis Mead (R)9.3%2.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)6.1%2.0
7. Keibert Ruiz (L)3.7%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (L)9.3%2.0
9. Jacob Young (R)5.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Gabriel Hughes's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.2% BB / BF

vs LHB7.8%
vs RHB8.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.5 BF

Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)7.6%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)17.0%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)10.4%2.5
4. Jorge Soler (R)10.4%2.0
5. Vaughn Grissom (R)5.5%2.0
6. Josh Lowe (L)7.4%2.0
7. Jo Adell (R)4.6%2.0
8. Denzer Guzman (R)5.3%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)5.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Hunter Dobbins's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.6% BB / BF

vs LHB8.0%
vs RHB7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Randy Arozarena (R)10.3%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)6.3%3.0
3. Dominic Canzone (L)6.9%3.0
4. Cal Raleigh (L)14.2%3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)8.7%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)8.5%2.5
7. Victor Robles (R)5.0%2.0
8. Buddy Kennedy (R)4.2%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)8.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Brady Singer's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.7% BB / BF

vs LHB8.2%
vs RHB7.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Heliot Ramos (R)6.1%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)14.3%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)4.4%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)13.8%3.0
5. Willy Adames (R)9.0%2.7
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)6.4%2.0
7. Jesus Rodriguez (R)8.5%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)8.5%2.0
9. Christian Koss (R)4.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Seth Lugo's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.3% BB / BF

vs LHB6.4%
vs RHB7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)7.4%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)5.4%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)10.9%3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)12.0%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)6.5%3.0
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)14.2%3.0
7. Jared Triolo (R)9.0%2.3
8. Henry Davis (R)4.4%2.0
9. Billy Cook (R)3.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Max Fried's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.0% BB / BF

vs LHB6.9%
vs RHB9.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)13.0%3.0
2. Justin Foscue (R)9.7%3.0
3. Josh Jung (R)8.7%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)6.0%2.2
5. Jake Burger (R)7.3%2.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)7.4%2.0
7. Cam Cauley (R)8.5%2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R)6.3%2.0
9. Alejandro Osuna (L)5.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Anthony Kay's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)14.6%3.0
2. Pete Alonso (R)9.2%3.0
3. Gunnar Henderson (L)6.9%3.0
4. Tyler O'Neill (R)9.9%3.0
5. Coby Mayo (R)9.3%2.9
6. Leody Taveras (R)9.4%2.0
7. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R)3.8%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)9.4%2.0
9. Chadwick Tromp (R)4.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jake Bennett's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.3% BB / BF

vs LHB7.6%
vs RHB7.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)13.7%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)12.1%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)5.2%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)11.0%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.3%3.0
6. Jasson Domínguez (L)8.1%2.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)10.4%2.0
8. Austin Wells (L)9.9%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)7.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Mitch Keller's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.5% BB / BF

vs LHB6.6%
vs RHB10.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)12.9%3.0
2. Jake Cronenworth (L)8.9%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)10.3%3.0
4. Ty France (R)5.1%2.2
5. Jackson Merrill (L)5.7%2.0
6. Luis Campusano (R)11.0%2.0
7. Gavin Sheets (L)7.5%2.0
8. Xander Bogaerts (R)9.3%2.0
9. Luis Rengifo (R)6.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Martín Pérez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB4.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.7 BF

Expected batters faced25.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)6.2%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.1%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)11.3%3.0
4. Jose Altuve (R)8.1%3.0
5. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)12.7%3.0
6. Christian Walker (R)6.6%3.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)9.6%3.0
8. Lucas Spence (L)8.5%2.7
9. Christian Vázquez (R)7.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Sandy Alcantara's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.1% BB / BF

vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB7.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.7%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)11.1%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)16.5%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)4.8%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)10.4%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)12.0%2.9
6. Masyn Winn (R)8.1%2.0
7. Nathan Church (L)5.2%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)3.4%2.0
9. Jimmy Crooks (L)7.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Reid Detmers's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.1% BB / BF

vs LHB12.6%
vs RHB6.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)10.5%3.0
2. Lane Thomas (R)9.7%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)9.0%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)4.5%3.0
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)9.6%3.0
6. Starling Marte (R)6.1%2.7
7. Michael Massey (L)5.8%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)8.6%2.0
9. Tyler Tolbert (R)5.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Landen Roupp's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.1% BB / BF

vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)9.5%3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (L)9.6%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)13.2%3.0
4. Austin Riley (R)6.6%3.0
5. Michael Harris II (L)3.3%3.0
6. Mauricio Dubón (R)6.0%2.6
7. Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.6%2.0
8. Brewer Hicklen (R)12.8%2.0
9. Jim Jarvis (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Michael King's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.4% BB / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)9.6%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)4.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)9.3%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.5%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)6.9%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)6.6%3.0
7. Jarren Duran (L)7.8%2.6
8. Connor Wong (R)7.9%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)9.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kyle Bradish's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.3% BB / BF

vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB3.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness11.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)16.4%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)6.2%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)11.1%3.0
4. Max Muncy (L)16.1%3.0
5. Mookie Betts (R)7.9%3.0
6. Kyle Tucker (L)13.9%2.4
7. Tommy Edman (L)6.7%2.0
8. Alex Call (R)13.1%2.0
9. Eliezer Alfonzo (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Aaron Nola's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.2% BB / BF

vs LHB12.8%
vs RHB4.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Otto Lopez (R)6.7%3.0
2. Kyle Stowers (L)10.0%3.0
3. Heriberto Hernández (R)9.3%3.0
4. Xavier Edwards (L)10.9%3.0
5. Liam Hicks (L)9.8%3.0
6. Griffin Conine (L)9.4%2.5
7. Jakob Marsee (L)11.6%2.0
8. Javier Sanoja (R)5.7%2.0
9. Joe Mack (L)7.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Peter Lambert's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.1% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB12.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jackson Chourio (R)5.9%3.0
2. Brice Turang (L)11.9%3.0
3. William Contreras (R)10.3%3.0
4. Andrew Vaughn (R)6.3%2.3
5. Garrett Mitchell (L)11.0%2.0
6. Gary Sánchez (R)13.7%2.0
7. Luis Lara (L)8.5%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)12.1%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)7.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Christian Scott's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.2% BB / BF

vs LHB11.1%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)13.7%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)12.1%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)5.2%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)11.0%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.3%3.0
6. Jasson Domínguez (L)8.1%2.5
7. Ryan McMahon (L)10.4%2.0
8. Austin Wells (L)9.9%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)7.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+123-164

We project 3.0 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Bubba Chandler's full player page →

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His control.
  • The lineup's patience.
  • Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays