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Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Friday, July 24, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, July 24, 2026 slate — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

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PROJ28 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitch
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate4.2% BB / BF

vs LHB2.6%
vs RHB4.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)26.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness6.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)6.6%3.0
2. Lane Thomas (R)12.7%3.0
3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)5.7%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)4.7%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)3.4%2.5
6. Isaac Collins (R)7.5%2.0
7. Josh Rojas (L)4.5%2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R)8.6%2.0
9. Andrew Velazquez (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tarik Skubal's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.6 BF

Expected batters faced9.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.7%1.6
2. Gleyber Torres (R)12.1%1.0
3. Colt Keith (L)7.6%1.0
4. Riley Greene (L)8.9%1.0
5. Dillon Dingler (R)4.8%1.0
6. Kerry Carpenter (L)6.1%1.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)9.7%1.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)9.0%1.0
9. James Outman (L)7.4%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Beck Way's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.2% BB / BF

vs LHB8.0%
vs RHB4.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.6%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Wyatt Langford (R)8.7%3.0
2. Justin Foscue (R)4.9%3.0
3. Jake Burger (R)5.3%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)9.1%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)6.0%2.5
6. Cam Cauley (R)8.5%2.0
7. Elias Díaz (R)5.1%2.0
8. Alejandro Osuna (L)10.8%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)8.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Bryce Miller's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.8% BB / BF

vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB11.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload12.3 BF

Expected batters faced12.3
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Corbin Carroll (L)9.3%2.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (R)11.3%2.0
3. Gabriel Moreno (R)9.5%2.0
4. Max Kepler (L)6.6%1.3
5. Adrian Del Castillo (L)3.9%1.0
6. Tim Tawa (R)8.6%1.0
7. Ildemaro Vargas (R)3.7%1.0
8. Tyler Locklear (R)8.3%1.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)8.3%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Carson Palmquist's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.7% BB / BF

vs LHB4.5%
vs RHB7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)8.2%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)8.3%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)8.5%3.0
4. Max Muncy (L)8.3%3.0
5. Mookie Betts (R)8.5%2.4
6. Kyle Tucker (L)11.4%2.0
7. Teoscar Hernández (R)9.4%2.0
8. Tommy Edman (R)6.5%2.0
9. Dalton Rushing (L)8.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Sean Manaea's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.6% BB / BF

vs LHB4.9%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)8.5%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)7.5%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)8.5%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)8.8%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)8.5%2.1
6. Jasson Domínguez (R)8.5%2.0
7. Anthony Volpe (R)9.2%2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L)8.5%2.0
9. Ali Sánchez (R)4.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jesús Luzardo's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.4% BB / BF

vs LHB6.6%
vs RHB6.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)8.5%3.0
2. Jared Triolo (R)8.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)10.8%3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)8.5%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)8.5%2.6
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)8.5%2.0
7. Brandon Lowe (L)5.4%2.0
8. Rafael Flores Jr. (R)8.5%2.0
9. Billy Cook (R)3.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Matthew Boyd's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.6% BB / BF

vs LHB6.3%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)8.5%3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L)8.5%3.0
3. José Tena (L)8.5%2.8
4. CJ Abrams (L)5.3%2.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)7.9%2.0
6. Daylen Lile (L)6.1%2.0
7. Keibert Ruiz (R)8.5%2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L)8.5%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Eduardo Rodriguez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.8% BB / BF

vs LHB6.3%
vs RHB5.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.4 BF

Expected batters faced25.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)8.5%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)17.0%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)10.5%3.0
4. Vaughn Grissom (R)5.4%3.0
5. Jo Adell (R)4.6%3.0
6. Wade Meckler (L)8.5%3.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R)8.5%3.0
8. Josh Lowe (L)7.4%2.4
9. Tyler Heineman (L)6.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Logan Webb's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)3.0%3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L)4.2%3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R)9.3%3.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L)10.4%3.0
5. Cole Carrigg (R)6.7%3.0
6. Kyle Karros (R)10.2%2.3
7. Willi Castro (R)5.5%2.0
8. Edouard Julien (L)8.5%2.0
9. Brett Sullivan (L)4.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shane Drohan's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.7% BB / BF

vs LHB6.9%
vs RHB4.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)10.9%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)8.5%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)12.0%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)10.4%3.0
5. Garrett Mitchell (L)11.3%3.0
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)6.6%2.3
7. Jake Bauers (L)13.9%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)11.6%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tomoyuki Sugano's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)8.5%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)8.5%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)13.6%3.0
4. Alec Bohm (R)6.1%2.0
5. Edmundo Sosa (R)8.5%2.0
6. Derek Hill (R)5.4%2.0
7. Bryan De La Cruz (R)4.1%2.0
8. Bryson Stott (L)7.8%2.0
9. Rafael Marchán (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Will Warren's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.6% BB / BF

vs LHB11.1%
vs RHB5.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.7 BF

Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)8.5%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)9.0%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)12.4%2.7
4. Spencer Steer (R)8.5%2.0
5. Nathaniel Lowe (L)8.5%2.0
6. Tyler Stephenson (R)8.8%2.0
7. Dane Myers (R)8.9%2.0
8. Edwin Arroyo (L)8.5%2.0
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Dustin May's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB8.9%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.2 BF

Expected batters faced19.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)8.2%3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R)10.4%2.2
3. Michael Busch (L)12.0%2.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)8.3%2.0
5. Ian Happ (L)14.1%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)7.6%2.0
7. Michael Conforto (L)10.7%2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R)9.6%2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R)9.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jared Jones's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.7% BB / BF

vs LHB10.4%
vs RHB8.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.5 BF

Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)8.5%3.0
2. Pete Alonso (R)8.5%3.0
3. Gunnar Henderson (L)9.6%2.5
4. Tyler O'Neill (R)8.5%2.0
5. Coby Mayo (R)7.6%2.0
6. Leody Taveras (L)8.5%2.0
7. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R)4.1%2.0
8. Jackson Holliday (L)8.5%2.0
9. Sam Huff (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Grant Holmes's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.9% BB / BF

vs LHB8.4%
vs RHB5.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jacob Wilson (R)5.1%3.0
2. Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.6%3.0
3. Shea Langeliers (R)8.5%3.0
4. Carlos Cortes (L)8.1%3.0
5. Donovan Walton (L)9.9%3.0
6. Tommy White (R)8.5%3.0
7. Jeff McNeil (L)8.0%2.6
8. Lawrence Butler (L)10.6%2.0
9. Jonah Heim (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Zebby Matthews's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.0% BB / BF

vs LHB5.5%
vs RHB7.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yohendrick Piñango (L)8.5%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)15.3%3.0
3. Ernie Clement (R)4.6%3.0
4. George Springer (R)12.4%3.0
5. Alejandro Kirk (R)10.0%2.2
6. Kazuma Okamoto (R)9.5%2.0
7. Davis Schneider (R)15.3%2.0
8. Luis Urías (R)8.1%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)7.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Patrick Sandoval's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.1% BB / BF

vs LHB9.6%
vs RHB6.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)6.0%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.0%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)11.1%3.0
4. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)12.8%3.0
5. Yainer Diaz (R)3.6%2.4
6. Christian Walker (R)6.6%2.0
7. Lucas Spence (L)8.5%2.0
8. Nick Allen (R)6.3%2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R)7.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Davis Martin's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.5% BB / BF

vs LHB13.8%
vs RHB5.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.2 BF

Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)8.8%3.0
2. Jordan Walker (R)6.5%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)9.0%2.2
4. Lars Nootbaar (L)12.2%2.0
5. Masyn Winn (R)6.8%2.0
6. José Fermín (R)8.6%2.0
7. Nathan Church (L)5.2%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)5.6%2.0
9. Jimmy Crooks (L)6.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Rhett Lowder's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.2% BB / BF

vs LHB11.2%
vs RHB6.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Otto Lopez (R)6.8%3.0
2. Kyle Stowers (L)9.9%3.0
3. Heriberto Hernández (R)9.0%2.8
4. Xavier Edwards (L)10.8%2.0
5. Liam Hicks (L)10.0%2.0
6. Griffin Conine (L)9.6%2.0
7. Javier Sanoja (R)5.6%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)6.9%2.0
9. Esteury Ruiz (R)8.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Germán Márquez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.2% BB / BF

vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB8.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)10.8%3.0
2. José Ramírez (R)9.1%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)7.5%3.0
4. Brayan Rocchio (R)6.6%3.0
5. Travis Bazzana (L)12.8%2.2
6. Rhys Hoskins (R)13.8%2.0
7. Kyle Manzardo (L)9.9%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (R)8.4%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)6.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shane McClanahan's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.3% BB / BF

vs LHB10.5%
vs RHB7.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)6.1%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)13.8%3.0
3. Heliot Ramos (R)8.5%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)8.5%2.5
5. Casey Schmitt (R)4.5%2.0
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)6.5%2.0
7. Willy Adames (R)8.5%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)8.5%2.0
9. Drew Cavanaugh (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Grayson Rodriguez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)6.7%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)8.5%3.0
3. Dominic Canzone (L)15.3%3.0
4. Randy Arozarena (R)8.5%3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)8.5%3.0
6. Cal Raleigh (R)9.3%2.7
7. Luke Raley (L)8.5%2.0
8. Weston Wilson (R)8.5%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)6.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

MacKenzie Gore's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.1% BB / BF

vs LHB12.2%
vs RHB7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. A.J. Ewing (L)9.5%3.0
2. Francisco Lindor (L)8.3%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)6.4%3.0
4. Carson Benge (L)7.5%2.9
5. Jorge Polanco (L)8.5%2.0
6. Jared Young (L)7.2%2.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)8.5%2.0
8. Brett Baty (L)8.2%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)7.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Roki Sasaki's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.0% BB / BF

vs LHB10.9%
vs RHB11.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.5 BF

Expected batters faced18.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Brooks Lee (R)4.9%2.5
2. Byron Buxton (R)8.4%2.0
3. Ryan Jeffers (R)15.9%2.0
4. Josh Bell (R)8.7%2.0
5. Kody Clemens (L)6.3%2.0
6. Royce Lewis (R)9.4%2.0
7. Austin Martin (R)14.1%2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R)9.6%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)11.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jacob Lopez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.9% BB / BF

vs LHB12.5%
vs RHB10.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Masataka Yoshida (L)8.5%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)4.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)8.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.5%3.0
5. Caleb Durbin (R)6.7%3.0
6. Romy Gonzalez (R)8.5%2.2
7. Jarren Duran (L)7.8%2.0
8. Connor Wong (R)7.7%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Trey Yesavage's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.8% BB / BF

vs LHB11.5%
vs RHB10.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.5 BF

Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)10.1%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)12.2%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)11.9%3.0
4. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)8.7%3.0
5. Jonny DeLuca (R)7.1%3.0
6. Chandler Simpson (L)3.8%2.5
7. Ben Williamson (R)6.2%2.0
8. Richie Palacios (L)11.9%2.0
9. Hunter Feduccia (L)4.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Joey Cantillo's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.4% BB / BF

vs LHB14.4%
vs RHB7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.7%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)8.5%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)17.6%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)10.9%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)9.7%3.0
5. Braden Montgomery (L)8.7%2.5
6. Chase Meidroth (R)9.1%2.0
7. Andrew Benintendi (L)9.3%2.0
8. Edgar Quero (L)8.2%2.0
9. Tristan Peters (L)6.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Spencer Arrighetti's full player page →

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His control.
  • The lineup's patience.
  • Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays