Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Top doubles spot: Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott (PHI) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tyler Mahle. The lefty is driving the ball at .058 2B/PA against righties this year — and .206 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 8% of his trips. And Tyler Mahle has been getting squared up by righties lately — .105 doubles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 11 career PA against Tyler Mahle, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (100) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a strong bat at .049 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.053).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (100) vs RHP Sean Burke: an elite bat at .063 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Wilyer Abreu (BOS) (100) vs LHP Max Fried: an excellent bat at .061 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.091), due to bounce back.
- Alex Bregman (CHC) (99) vs RHP Nick Pivetta: a strong bat at .051 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.063).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (90) vs RHP Nick Pivetta: a strong bat at .051 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Ty France (SD) (88) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a strong bat at .051 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.053).
- Ben Rice (NYY) (86) vs RHP Sonny Gray: a solid bat at .047 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- Bryson Stott (PHI) — lefty bat vs RHP, .058 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .059 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .050 against righties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .045 against righties this year.
- Ian Happ (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .049 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Christian Walker (HOU), Sam Antonacci (CWS), and Chase Meidroth (CWS). Cold but due to bounce back: Wilyer Abreu (BOS), Ian Happ (CHC), Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL), Ozzie Albies (ATL), and Cody Bellinger (NYY).
How it played out
0 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Bryson Stott finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.