Best MLB Singles Matchups — Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Top singles spot: Dustin Harris
Dustin Harris (SD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Kevin Gausman. The lefty is lining singles at .209 1B/PA against righties this year — and .255 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a single in about 19% of his trips. And Kevin Gausman has been getting picked apart by righties lately — .200 singles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Kevin Gausman. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (86) vs RHP Hunter Brown: an elite bat at .197 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.105), hot bat.
- Trea Turner (PHI) (83) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: a solid bat at .154 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.200).
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (76) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a strong bat at .157 into an arm prone to base hits from the same side (.158).
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) (75) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a strong bat at .163 into an arm around league average against the same side (.141), due to bounce back.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (71) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: a solid bat at .154 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.267).
- Jeremy Peña (HOU) (70) vs RHP Sean Burke: a strong bat at .158 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.111).
- Alec Bohm (PHI) (69) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: a solid bat at .149 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.200), due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Dustin Harris (SD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .209 against righties this year.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .176 against righties this year.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .169 against lefties this year.
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .157 against lefties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .146 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Sam Antonacci (CWS), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Chase Meidroth (CWS), and Christian Walker (HOU). Cold but due to bounce back: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Alec Bohm (PHI), Cody Bellinger (NYY), Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL), and Nico Hoerner (CHC).
How it played out
5 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.