Best MLB Triples Matchups — Monday, August 31, 2026
Top triples spot: Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee (MIA) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Will Dion. The lefty is running the bases at .026 3B/PA against lefties this year — and .063 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a triple in about 2% of his trips. And Will Dion has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.0 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Will Dion, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Coby Mayo (BAL) (100) vs RHP Tanner Gordon: a strong bat at .006 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.067), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (100) vs RHP Aaron Nola: an elite bat at .012 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (100) vs RHP Jackson Jobe: an elite bat at .013 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (99) vs LHP Cade Povich: an elite bat at .010 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Ezequiel Duran (TEX) (99) vs LHP Gage Jump: an elite bat at .011 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.027).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (97) vs LHP Anthony Kay: an elite bat at .012 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Cody Freeman (TEX) (96) vs LHP Gage Jump: an elite bat at .015 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.027).
Platoon edges to target
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .023 against righties this year.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Ezequiel Duran (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .008 against lefties this year.
- Cody Freeman (TEX) — righty bat vs LHP, .031 against lefties this year.
- Ildemaro Vargas (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .014 against righties this year.
Parks where triples happen today
- Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+18% triple park). Top bat there: Coby Mayo (BAL) at 100.
- Angel Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) at 52.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Jakob Marsee finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.