MatchWiz

Connor Joe

Connor's matchups, recent form, and the graded record of every call we've made on him.

Last scored board
52.2
Walks · vs BOS · 2026-06-20
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
17
this season, box-score final
Connor Joe
RFBats RThrows RSeattle Mariners
Walks52.2/100proj 0.4#12Stolen Bases26.9/100proj 0.1#19Doubles20.3/100proj 0.2#199Singles20.3/100proj 0.6#199Triples20.3/100proj 0#199Fantasy Points14.4/100proj 5.9#50Total Bases13.8/100proj 1.4#49Hits13.5/100proj 0.8#50Home Runs4.9/100proj 0.1#52RBIs4.2/100proj 0.3#52Runs1.2/100proj 0.4#54H+R+RBI0/100proj 1.5#54

Not on the current slate

Connor hasn't been scored in 64 days — his last matchup was against Boston Red Sox on Saturday, June 20, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Small sample, handle with care

Connor has just 32 at-bats in our graded season log — not enough to say much. He's hitting .188 across them, but a number built on this little data moves wildly with one good week. His confidence rating on any board reflects that: the model will still score his matchup, it's just honest that it's working with thin information. Treat the projection as a starting point, not a read.

He's a right-handed bat

Connor hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

His best game in the log

Connor's biggest night was Sunday, May 10, 2026 at CWS — 2-for-2. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Connor a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 17 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Connor was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 52.2/100 while h+r+rbi came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Connor and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Connor specifically, his sample is small (32 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, June 20vs BOS20000
Wednesday, June 17vs BAL41000
Wednesday, May 20vs CWS00000
Saturday, May 16vs SD00000
Friday, May 15vs SD10000
Wednesday, May 13@ HOU20000
Monday, May 11@ HOU00000
Sunday, May 10@ CWS22000
Wednesday, May 6vs ATL40000
Monday, May 4vs ATL00000
Sunday, May 3vs KC20000
Saturday, May 2vs KC10000

Connor Joe — FAQ

Is Connor Joe playing today?

Connor Joe isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Saturday, June 20, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

Which MatchWiz boards does Connor Joe appear on?

Connor was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, stolen bases, doubles, singles, triples. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Connor Joe's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).