MatchWiz

Cristian Pache

Cristian Pache — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: doubles at 43/100.

Today's top board
43
Doubles · @ CLE
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
0
this season, box-score final
Cristian Pache
OFBats RThrows RNew York Mets
Doubles43/100proj 0.2#74Walks24.3/100proj 0.3#144RBIs24/100proj 0.4#143Hits16.8/100proj 0.8#157Singles13.1/100proj 0.5#151Total Bases12.6/100proj 1.3#155Home Runs9.8/100proj 0.1#126Runs7.7/100proj 0.4#160H+R+RBI7.2/100proj 1.4#157Stolen Bases4.8/100proj 0#129Fantasy Points4/100proj 5.2#158Triples1.8/100proj 0#157

Today's matchup

Today it's Cleveland Guardians for Cristian, away. He shows up on 12 boards — doubles (43/100, #74), walks (24.3/100, #144), rbis (24/100, #143), hits (16.8/100, #157). We've got him at 0.2 on the doubles board. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

He's a right-handed bat

Cristian hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Where he lands across our boards

Cristian was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 43/100 while triples came in at 1.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Cristian's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Cristian specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Cristian Pache — FAQ

Who is Cristian Pache facing today?

Cristian Pache is facing Cleveland Guardians on Thursday, August 6, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 43/100 on our doubles board, ranked #74.

What is Cristian Pache's projection today?

We project Cristian for 0.2 on the doubles board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

Which MatchWiz boards does Cristian Pache appear on?

Cristian was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, walks, rbis, hits, singles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Cristian Pache's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).