Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, August 7, 2026)?

Dillon Dingler (DET) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP JT Brubaker. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, August 7, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Friday, August 7, 2026: Dillon Dingler (100), Shohei Ohtani (100), Alec Burleson (97), Jordan Walker (96), Junior Caminero (92). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, August 7, 2026?

No — Dillon Dingler didn't record a total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .434 against righties this year. Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .498 against righties this year. Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .440 against righties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .436 against righties this year. Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .439 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been vulnerable to righties — .402 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Tyler O'Neill (BAL). RHP Zack Wheeler has been vulnerable to righties — .402 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alejandro Kirk (TOR), George Springer (TOR), and Kazuma Okamoto (TOR). RHP Ryan Feltner has been vulnerable to righties — .400 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), Jordan Walker (STL), and JJ Wetherholt (STL). RHP Merrill Kelly has been vulnerable to righties — .393 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Friday, August 7, 2026

Every hitter on the Friday, August 7, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Friday, August 7, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 0/5 (0%) on our total-bases over/under, against 47% on the season.

Top 5

0/50%

season 47%

Top 10

3/1030%

season 46%

Full slate

138/26752%

season 50%

Top call Kyle Stowers came through. Dillon Dingler didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 6–4

NYMaway

PIThomeTop matchup61 Final · 5–4

TORaway

PHIhomeTop matchup75 Final · 3–5

CINaway

WSHhomeTop matchup81 Final · 2–3

ATLaway

NYYhomeTop matchup63 Final · 4–3

LAAaway

MIAhomeTop matchup89 Final · 1–13

ATHaway

BOShomeTop matchup85 Final · 8–2

CLEaway

CWShomeTop matchup68 Final · 8–6

MINaway

MILhomeTop matchup73 Final · 6–4

CHCaway

KChomeTop matchup70 Final · 2–3

COLaway

STLhomeTop matchup97 Final · 1–2

BALaway

TEXhomeTop matchup84 Final · 3–4

LADaway

AZhomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–3

HOUaway

SDhomeTop matchup66 Final · 2–1

TBaway

SEAhomeTop matchup92 Final · 2–5

DETaway

SFhomeTop matchup100

Not starting68 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 338 shownScore

167 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Cam SmithRF
HOU@SD· 3-for-4
9TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #247
2
Josh BellDH
MIN@MIL· 4-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
3
Steven KwanLF
CLE@CWS· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T3
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsCIN· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #90
T3
Matt McLain2B
CIN@WSH· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #225
T3
Josh Smith2B
TOR@PHI· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #252
7
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@SEA· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #37
T7
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsHOU· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T7
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsLAD· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T7
Angel MartínezLF
CLE@CWS· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #144
T7
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsTB· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T7
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWSvsCLE· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #226
T7
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHC@KC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #245
14
Kyle Stowers1B
MIAvsLAA· 4-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #7
T14
Joc PedersonDH
TEXvsBAL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #10
T14
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@WSH· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #14
T14
Iván HerreraDH
STLvsCOL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #16
T14
Jake McCarthyLF
COL@STL· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #42
T14
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsDET· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #53
T14
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsMIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T14
Munetaka Murakami1B
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T14
Carter JensenC
KCvsCHC· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #65
T14
Mike TroutCF
LAA@MIA· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #71
T14
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATH@BOS· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #72
T14
Andy PagesCF
LAD@AZ· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #92
T14
Matt Olson1B
ATL@NYY· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
T14
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAA@MIA· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T14
Jonny DeLucaRF
TB@SEA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T14
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@PIT· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #114
T14
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsDET· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #115
T14
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@WSH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T14
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsLAD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T14
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T14
Isaac Paredes3B
HOU@SD· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #164
T14
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZvsLAD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #166
T14
Marcus Semien2B
NYM@PIT· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #186
T14
Andrés GiménezSS
TOR@PHI· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
T14
Austin Riley3B
ATL@NYY· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
T14
Jake RogersC
BOSvsATH· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #218
T14
Kaelen CulpepperSS
MIN@MIL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #222
T14
Harry FordC
WSHvsCIN· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #229
42
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@SF· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #18
T42
Brice Turang2B
MILvsMIN· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #22
T42
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsATH· 2-for-2
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #31
T42
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@MIL· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #75
T42
Jac CaglianoneRF
KCvsCHC· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #108
T42
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOSvsATH· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T42
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsHOU· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #121
T42
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsNYM· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #139
T42
Spencer Torkelson1B
DET@SF· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #141
T42
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@TEX· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #145
T42
Willi Castro2B
COL@STL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #149
T42
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@STL· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #150
T42
Victor Mesa Jr.RF
TB@SEA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #172
T42
Anthony Seigler2B
BOSvsATH· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #188
T42
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsNYM· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #213
T42
Ryan McMahon3B
NYYvsATL· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T42
Jake MeyersCF
HOU@SD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
T42
David Hamilton3B
MILvsMIN· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #262
60
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsATH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #8
T60
Mickey MoniakLF
COL@STL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #19
T60
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsLAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #23
T60
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #33
T60
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@KC· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T60
Jesús SánchezRF
TOR@PHI· 1-for-1
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #78
T60
Osleivis Basabe2B
SFvsDET· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #79
T60
Masyn WinnSS
STLvsCOL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T60
Nathan LukesRF
TOR@PHI· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #88
T60
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsTOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T60
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
ATL@NYY· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #91
T60
Chase DeLauterRF
CLE@CWS· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T60
Ryan JeffersC
MIN@MIL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T60
Austin MartinRF
MIN@MIL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T60
Héctor RodríguezRF
CIN@WSH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T60
Caleb Durbin3B
BOSvsATH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T60
Carson BengeRF
NYM@PIT· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T60
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOSvsATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #131
T60
Heliot RamosLF
NYYvsATL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #133
T60
Drake BaldwinC
ATL@NYY· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T60
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsTOR· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T60
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsLAA· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #147
T60
Leo Jiménez3B
MIAvsLAA· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T60
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@SD· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T60
Tommy Edman2B
LAD@AZ· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #162
T60
Michael Busch1B
CHC@KC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T60
Isaac CollinsLF
KCvsCHC· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #175
T60
Lars NootbaarLF
AZvsLAD· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T60
Luis LaraRF
MILvsMIN· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #201
T60
Esteury RuizRF
MIAvsLAA· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #207
T60
Tyler TolbertSS
KCvsCHC· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #223
T60
Ronny Simon2B
PITvsNYM· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T60
Austin WellsC
NYYvsATL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #233
T60
Brett BatemanCF
TOR@PHI· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #241
T60
Zach McKinstry2B
DET@SF· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #249
T60
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsNYM· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #253
T60
Luisangel AcuñaSS
CWSvsCLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #261
T60
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsTOR· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #265
T60
Ryan KreidlerSS
MIN@MIL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #267
T60
Agustín RamírezC
MIAvsLAA· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T60
Javier Sanoja3B
MIAvsLAA· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
101
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsCOL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #4
T101
Gleyber Torres2B
DET@SF· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #6
T101
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsDET· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #9
T101
CJ AbramsSS
WSHvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #26
T101
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KCvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #27
T101
George SpringerDH
TOR@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #28
T101
Jimmy CrooksC
STLvsCOL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T101
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@KC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #34
T101
Luis García Jr.1B
NYYvsATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #51
T101
Manny Machado3B
SDvsHOU· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #55
T101
Nick Sogard2B
BOSvsATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T101
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsNYM· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T101
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@SD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T101
Liam HicksC
TB@SEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #66
T101
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #67
T101
Francisco LindorSS
NYM@PIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #73
T101
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@AZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #74
T101
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@KC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #77
T101
Salvador PerezDH
KCvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #83
T101
Riley GreeneLF
DET@SF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #96
T101
Randal GrichukDH
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T101
José Ramírez3B
CLE@CWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T101
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsATL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T101
Spencer Horwitz1B
PITvsNYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T101
Cole Young2B
SEAvsTB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T101
Jake Cronenworth2B
SDvsHOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #123
T101
Dylan BeaversRF
BAL@TEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T101
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@PIT· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #125
T101
Coby Mayo3B
BAL@TEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T101
Brady House3B
WSHvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #130
T101
Christian Walker1B
HOU@SD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #134
T101
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@MIL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #135
T101
Tim Tawa1B
AZvsLAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T101
Jared Young1B
NYM@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #151
T101
Luis CampusanoC
SDvsHOU· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T101
Moisés BallesterosDH
LAA@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T101
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsMIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T101
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #171
T101
Hunter FeducciaC
LAD@AZ· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
T101
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLE@CWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T101
Noelvi MarteRF
CIN@WSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #178
T101
Christian YelichDH
MILvsMIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T101
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #183
T101
Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
CIN@WSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #189
T101
Oswald Peraza2B
LAA@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #190
T101
Carson KellyC
CHC@KC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #192
T101
Max ClarkCF
DET@SF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #198
T101
Colton CowserCF
BAL@TEX· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #200
T101
Max Muncy3B
ATH@BOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #204
T101
Josh LoweLF
LAA@MIA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #206
T101
Elias DíazC
TEXvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #208
T101
George Lombard Jr.SS
NYYvsATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
T101
Carlos NarváezC
BAL@TEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T101
Brett Baty3B
NYM@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #214
T101
J.T. RealmutoC
PHIvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #220
T101
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@MIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #221
T101
Tyler HeinemanC
LAA@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #234
T101
Edgar QueroC
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #240
T101
Austin HedgesC
CLE@CWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #243
T101
Sung-Mun Song2B
SDvsHOU· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #250
T101
Jacob YoungCF
WSHvsCIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #256
T101
Rafael Flores Jr.C
PITvsNYM· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #257
T101
José TenaDH
WSHvsCIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #259
T101
Colt EmersonSS
SEAvsTB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #269
T101
Jordan BeckLF
COL@STL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T101
Jacob GonzalezSS
PITvsNYM· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T101
Miguel Rojas2B
LAD@AZ· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, August 7, 2026

Dillon Dingler (DET) is the top total bases matchup on the Friday, August 7, 2026 board at 100, with Shohei Ohtani (LAD) and Alec Burleson (STL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Dillon Dingler

Dillon Dingler (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP JT Brubaker. The righty is racking up bases at .536 TB/PA against righties this year — and .667 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 47% of his trips. And JT Brubaker has been vulnerable to righties lately — .400 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against JT Brubaker. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (100) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: a strong bat at .443 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.405), hot bat.
Alec Burleson (STL) (97) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a strong bat at .459 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500), hot bat.
Jordan Walker (STL) (96) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a league-average bat at .364 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.842), hot bat.
Junior Caminero (TB) (92) vs RHP Logan Gilbert: an excellent bat at .484 into an arm mostly containing the same side (.320).
Gleyber Torres (DET) (91) vs RHP JT Brubaker: a solid bat at .408 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.400), hot bat.
Kyle Stowers (MIA) (89) vs RHP George Klassen: a strong bat at .447 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (85) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a strong bat at .465 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.360).

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been vulnerable to righties — .402 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Tyler O'Neill (BAL).
RHP Zack Wheeler has been vulnerable to righties — .402 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alejandro Kirk (TOR), George Springer (TOR), and Kazuma Okamoto (TOR).
RHP Ryan Feltner has been vulnerable to righties — .400 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), Jordan Walker (STL), and JJ Wetherholt (STL).
RHP Merrill Kelly has been vulnerable to righties — .393 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD).

Platoon edges to target

Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .434 against righties this year.
Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .498 against righties this year.
Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .440 against righties this year.
Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .436 against righties this year.
Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .439 against righties this year.

How it played out

6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Dillon Dingler finished with 0 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, August 7, 2026)?: Dillon Dingler (DET) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP JT Brubaker. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, August 7, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Friday, August 7, 2026: Dillon Dingler (100), Shohei Ohtani (100), Alec Burleson (97), Jordan Walker (96), Junior Caminero (92). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, August 7, 2026?: No — Dillon Dingler didn't record a total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .434 against righties this year. Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .498 against righties this year. Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .440 against righties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .436 against righties this year. Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .439 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been vulnerable to righties — .402 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Tyler O'Neill (BAL). RHP Zack Wheeler has been vulnerable to righties — .402 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alejandro Kirk (TOR), George Springer (TOR), and Kazuma Okamoto (TOR). RHP Ryan Feltner has been vulnerable to righties — .400 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), Jordan Walker (STL), and JJ Wetherholt (STL). RHP Merrill Kelly has been vulnerable to righties — .393 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.