MatchWiz Scores

Lucas Spence

Lucas Spence — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: total bases at 41.7/100.

Today's top board
41.7
Total Bases · vs BAL
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
0
this season, box-score final
Lucas Spence
OFBats LThrows LHouston Astros
Total Bases41.7/100proj 1.6#111Hits40.9/100proj 0.9#182RBIs34.6/100proj 0.4#188H+R+RBI30.9/100proj 1.6#195Runs28.9/100proj 0.5#188Fantasy Points24.6/100proj 6.1#168Home Runs23.1/100proj 0.1#149Walks18.5/100proj 0.3#178Stolen Bases13.4/100proj 0#200

Today's matchup

Lucas is hosting Baltimore Orioles on the Friday, July 17, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — total bases (41.7/100, #111), hits (40.9/100, #182), rbis (34.6/100, #188), h+r+rbi (30.9/100, #195). We project Lucas for 1.6 on the total bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

How the model reads him

Lucas's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Lucas Spence — FAQ

Who is Lucas Spence facing today?

Lucas Spence is hosting Baltimore Orioles on Friday, July 17, 2026. His best matchup grades 41.7/100 on our total bases board.

What's Lucas Spence's projection today?

We project Lucas for 1.6 on the total bases board (home vs BAL). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).