Best MLB Singles Matchups — Tuesday, September 1, 2026
Top singles spot: Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Troy Melton. The righty is lining singles at .171 1B/PA against righties this year — and .237 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a single in about 18% of his trips. And Troy Melton has been getting picked apart by righties lately — .191 singles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Troy Melton too — 1.000 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (100) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: a strong bat at .167 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.214), hot bat.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (100) vs RHP Kyle Bradish: a solid bat at .151 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.281).
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (100) vs RHP Spencer Miles: an elite bat at .199 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.100).
- TJ Rumfield (COL) (100) vs RHP Kyle Bradish: an excellent bat at .172 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.281), hot bat.
- Luis Arraez (PHI) (99) vs LHP Eduardo Rodriguez: an excellent bat at .185 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.100).
- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) (99) vs RHP Tyler Phillips: an excellent bat at .181 into an arm prone to base hits from the same side (.154).
- Gleyber Torres (DET) (99) vs RHP Andrew Morris: a strong bat at .168 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.235).
Platoon edges to target
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .181 against righties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .158 against righties this year.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .210 against righties this year.
- TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .178 against righties this year.
- Jac Caglianone (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Freddie Freeman (LAD), TJ Rumfield (COL), Geraldo Perdomo (AZ), George Springer (TOR), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Drake Baldwin (ATL). Cold but due to bounce back: Alec Bohm (PHI), Josh Naylor (SEA), Christian Encarnacion-Strand (BAL), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Ben Rice (NYY).
How it played out
7 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Luke Keaschall finished with 1 single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.