Best MLB Singles Matchups — Tuesday, October 27, 2026
Top singles spot: Yandy Díaz
Yandy Díaz (TB) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Dustin May. The righty is lining singles at .204 1B/PA against righties this year, an elite bat that turns into a single in about 20% of his trips. And Dustin May has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Dustin May too — 1.000 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (98) vs RHP Dustin May: an elite bat at .243 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Liam Hicks (TB) (72) vs RHP Dustin May: an excellent bat at .183 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (68) vs RHP Dustin May: a strong bat at .165 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (64) vs RHP Griffin Jax: a strong bat at .162 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Cooper Pratt (MIL) (58) vs RHP Griffin Jax: an elite bat at .200 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- William Contreras (MIL) (52) vs RHP Griffin Jax: a strong bat at .165 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jake Bauers (MIL) (49) vs RHP Griffin Jax: a solid bat at .140 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Platoon edges to target
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .259 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .190 against righties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .163 against righties this year.
- Jake Bauers (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .141 against righties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .135 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Jonny DeLuca (TB), and Brice Turang (MIL). Cold but due to bounce back: Sal Frelick (MIL).
How it played out
7 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Yandy Díaz finished with 1 single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.