Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Lakers98
Warriors124FinalChase CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lakers | 31 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 98 |
 Warriors | 45 | 36 | 15 | 28 | 124 |
Box score
FinalLos Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin GrimesG | 23 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Dalton KnechtF | 22 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jake LaRaviaF | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Chris ManonGuard | 22 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Bronny JamesG | 21 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Jaden HardyG | 19 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 18 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Adou ThieroForward | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jarred VanderbiltF | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| AK OkerekeForward | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kevon LooneyF | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Cole SwiderF | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron CarrG | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| William Kyle IIIF | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 98 | 35 | 20 | 33-83 | 13-37 | 19-23 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 25 | 29 |
Did not play Arthur Kaluma coach's decision · Austin Reaves coach's decision · Collin Sexton coach's decision · Luka Doncic coach's decision · Matisse Thybulle coach's decision · Walker Kessler coach's decision · Ziaire Williams coach's decision
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 21 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Gui SantosF | 21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandin PodziemskiG | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Georges NiangF | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 18 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 16 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Will RichardG | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Draymond GreenF | 15 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Stephen CurryG | 14 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Charles BasseyC | 14 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Graham IkeF | 12 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Malevy LeonsF | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| LJ CryerG | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Dalen TerryG | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Miles KellyG | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Alex TooheyF | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 124 | 44 | 32 | 41-80 | 15-35 | 27-32 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 24 |
Did not play Al Horford coach's decision · Jimmy Butler III coach's decision · Kristaps Porzingis coach's decision · Moses Moody coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Lakers | Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-83 | FG | 41-80 |
| 39.8% | FG% | 51.2% |
| 13-37 | 3PT | 15-35 |
| 35.1% | 3PT% | 42.9% |
| 19-23 | FT | 27-32 |
| 35 | Rebounds | 44 |
| 10 | Off reb | 11 |
| 20 | Assists | 32 |
| 13 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 9 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 24 |
| 29 | Fouls | 24 |
107.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Lakers on no rest, Warriors on 1 day.
What the model says
Tuesday, October 6These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.