Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Warriors101
Lakers89FinalT-Mobile ArenaNeutral floorScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors | 29 | 21 | 22 | 29 | 101 |
 Lakers | 29 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 89 |
Box score
FinalGolden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles BasseyC | 27 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Brandin PodziemskiG | 26 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Gui SantosF | 24 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Stephen CurryG | 23 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Georges NiangF | 19 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 17 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Will RichardG | 15 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Graham IkeF | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Malevy LeonsF | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LJ CryerG | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalen TerryG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 101 | 40 | 24 | 33-84 | 14-50 | 21-31 | 15 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 24 |
Did not play Al Horford coach's decision · Alex Toohey coach's decision · Draymond Green coach's decision · Jimmy Butler III coach's decision · Kristaps Porzingis coach's decision · Miles Kelly coach's decision · Moses Moody coach's decision · Tyler Burton coach's decision
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin GrimesG | 26 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Jake LaRaviaF | 26 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Austin ReavesG | 25 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 21 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matisse ThybulleG | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Arthur KalumaForward | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Walker KesslerC | 16 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Chris ManonGuard | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Jaden HardyG | 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Kevon LooneyF | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Bronny JamesG | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Rafael CastroF | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| AK OkerekeForward | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalton KnechtF | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jarred VanderbiltF | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole SwiderF | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 89 | 45 | 22 | 33-76 | 9-34 | 14-17 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 26 |
Did not play William Kyle III coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Warriors | Lakers | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-84 | FG | 33-76 |
| 39.3% | FG% | 43.4% |
| 14-50 | 3PT | 9-34 |
| 28.0% | 3PT% | 26.5% |
| 21-31 | FT | 14-17 |
| 40 | Rebounds | 45 |
| 15 | Off reb | 8 |
| 24 | Assists | 22 |
| 20 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 29 |
| 24 | Fouls | 26 |
103.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Warriors on 2 days, Lakers on 4 days.
What the model says
Tuesday, October 13ProjectedWarriors 114.4 · Lakers 116.9
Our lineLakers −2.5
Total231.3
Win probLakers 60% · Warriors 40%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.