Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Warriors105
Lakers127Finalcrypto.com ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors | 33 | 19 | 16 | 37 | 105 |
 Lakers | 34 | 32 | 36 | 25 | 127 |
Box score
FinalGolden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 29 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Gui SantosF | 25 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Stephen CurryG | 21 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Draymond GreenF | 21 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 21 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Will RichardG | 20 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Georges NiangF | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Al HorfordC | 17 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Graham IkeF | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| LJ CryerG | 9 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malevy LeonsF | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 105 | 36 | 25 | 38-92 | 8-36 | 21-27 | 15 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
Did not play Kristaps Porzingis coach's decision
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin ReavesG | 32 | 23 | 4 | 6 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Luka DoncicG | 30 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 9-9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Walker KesslerC | 30 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 12-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Quentin GrimesG | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Ziaire WilliamsF | 24 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Matisse ThybulleG | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 22 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jake LaRaviaF | 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Kevon LooneyF | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaden HardyG | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bronny JamesG | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Chris ManonGuard | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 127 | 43 | 28 | 46-81 | 11-28 | 24-27 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 25 |
Did not play Dalton Knecht coach's decision · Jarred Vanderbilt coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Warriors | Lakers | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-92 | FG | 46-81 |
| 41.3% | FG% | 56.8% |
| 8-36 | 3PT | 11-28 |
| 22.2% | 3PT% | 39.3% |
| 21-27 | FT | 24-27 |
| 36 | Rebounds | 43 |
| 15 | Off reb | 10 |
| 25 | Assists | 28 |
| 15 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 19 | Fouls | 25 |
102.9 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 4 days' rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 21ProjectedWarriors 112.2 · Lakers 115.0
Our lineLakers −2.7
Total227.2
Win probLakers 61% · Warriors 39%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.