Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Warriors122
Suns131FinalMortgage Matchup CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors | 25 | 29 | 38 | 30 | 122 |
 Suns | 22 | 35 | 45 | 29 | 131 |
Box score
FinalGolden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 36 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 9-19 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Will RichardG | 31 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 27 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Graham IkeF | 26 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 24 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Gui SantosF | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Georges NiangF | 23 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LJ CryerG | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Charles BasseyC | 13 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Malevy LeonsF | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 122 | 44 | 24 | 41-91 | 17-39 | 23-32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 22 |
Did not play Brandin Podziemski lower back injury management · Draymond Green low back soreness
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin BookerG | 36 | 43 | 7 | 7 | 17-25 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Dillon BrooksF | 34 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Miles BridgesF | 33 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Collin GillespieG | 28 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Khaman MaluachC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Jalen GreenG | 26 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Jordan GoodwinG | 20 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Luke KennardG | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan DunnF | 13 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Duop ReathC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 131 | 42 | 33 | 50-86 | 14-37 | 17-22 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 22 |
Did not play CJ Huntley coach's decision · Jamaree Bouyea coach's decision · Koa Peat coach's decision · Koby Brea coach's decision · Pat Spencer coach's decision · Rasheer Fleming coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Warriors | Suns | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-91 | FG | 50-86 |
| 45.1% | FG% | 58.1% |
| 17-39 | 3PT | 14-37 |
| 43.6% | 3PT% | 37.8% |
| 23-32 | FT | 17-22 |
| 44 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 19 | Off reb | 9 |
| 24 | Assists | 33 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
103.4 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Warriors on no rest, Suns on 2 days.
What the model says
Saturday, October 24ProjectedWarriors 111.7 · Suns 114.1
Our lineSuns −2.4
Total225.8
Win probSuns 60% · Warriors 41%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.