NFL Matchups
Projected score, spread and win probability for every NFL game in Week 2 — plus the quarterback and skill-player numbers behind each one.
Every game gets a moneyline pick. Spread, total and team total are graded only where the WizLine and the book's disagree enough to be saying something, so those counts run lower on purpose. Read them with their sample sizes: an NFL season is 272 games, and the moneyline takes the favourite most weeks — a healthy W-L there is what a favourite-heavy card looks like, not evidence on its own. Units at −110, one unit a pick, priced pre-kick. None of this is posted as a play.
Monday, September 21
New York GiantsGiants642%+139WizLine28%market+240line+13.8%
Los Angeles RamsRams✓28WizPick58%−139WizLine72%market−305line−13.8%Sunday, September 20
Minnesota VikingsVikings944%+129WizLine34%market+180line+9.4%
Chicago BearsBears✗3WizPick56%−129WizLine66%market−215line−9.4%
Green Bay PackersPackers2049%+103WizLine60%market−170line−11.0%
New York JetsJets✗17WizPick51%−103WizLine40%market+142line+11.0%
Philadelphia EaglesEagles✓24WizPick61%−157WizLine74%market−350line−13.4%
Tennessee TitansTitans2039%+157WizLine26%market+275line+13.4%
Cincinnati BengalsBengals2037%+167WizLine43%market+125line−5.1%
Houston TexansTexans✗6WizPick63%−167WizLine57%market−150line+5.1%
Carolina PanthersPanthers3438%+160WizLine56%market−142line−17.9%
Atlanta FalconsFalcons✗3WizPick62%−160WizLine44%market+120line+17.9%
Cleveland BrownsBrowns2333%+201WizLine22%market+330line+10.9%
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers✗19WizPick67%−201WizLine78%market−425line−10.9%
New Orleans SaintsSaints2433%+205WizLine23%market+325line+10.2%
Baltimore RavensRavens✗17WizPick67%−205WizLine77%market−420line−10.2%
Pittsburgh SteelersSteelers336%+178WizLine34%market+185line+2.3%
New England PatriotsPatriots✓20WizPick64%−178WizLine66%market−225line−2.3%
Jacksonville JaguarsJaguars✗13WizPick61%−159WizLine43%market+124line+18.6%
Denver BroncosBroncos2039%+159WizLine57%market−148line−18.6%
Las Vegas RaidersRaiders2642%+139WizLine28%market+245line+14.0%
Los Angeles ChargersChargers✗14WizPick58%−139WizLine72%market−300line−14.0%
Seattle SeahawksSeahawks✓31WizPick61%−153WizLine65%market−210line−4.6%
Arizona CardinalsCardinals739%+153WizLine35%market+176line+4.6%
Washington CommandersCommanders2046%+118WizLine34%market+180line+11.4%
Dallas CowboysCowboys✓37WizPick54%−118WizLine66%market−215line−11.4%
Miami DolphinsDolphins1328%+258WizLine13%market+650line+15.1%
San Francisco 49ers49ers✓35WizPick72%−258WizLine87%market−1000line−15.1%
Indianapolis ColtsColts3031%+221WizLine29%market+230line+2.1%
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs✓33WizPick69%−221WizLine71%market−285line−2.1%Thursday, September 17
Detroit LionsLions3130%+233WizLine32%market+200line−2.0%
Buffalo BillsBills✓41WizPick70%−233WizLine68%market−240line+2.0%Projected points, spread and win probability come from a drive-level Monte Carlo built on play-by-play, snap counts and depth charts. Player lines are the same simulation read a different way — open a card to see them, with every market and the live box score. Every pick is graded at the book's line and the record is on this page. This is a finished week — the projections are the ones that were published before kickoff, not rebuilt after. Model nfl-sim-1/19of20. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).