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Projected receiving yards for every pass-catcher this week, built from projected targets and how his defense covers.
SEA vs NEWed 8 PMJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR91 rec yd81.5 ydDK-113+11.9%WizEdge
SEA vs NEWed 8 PM91yd122ydof 81.5
DET vs NOSun 1 PMAmon-Ra St. BrownWR76 rec yd77.5 ydFD-113−2.0%WizEdge
DET vs NOSun 1 PM76yd67ydof 77.5
DAL @ NYGSun 8 PMGeorge PickensWR73 rec yd67.5 ydDK-110+8.4%WizEdge
DAL @ NYGSun 8 PM73yd28ydof 67.5
TEN vs NYJSun 1 PMCarnell TateWR70 rec yd37.5 ydFD-113+87.1%WizEdge
TEN vs NYJSun 1 PM70yd38ydof 37.5
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PMNico CollinsWR66 rec yd69.5 ydFD-113−4.6%WizEdge
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PM66yd75ydof 69.5
NYJ @ TENSun 1 PMGarrett WilsonWR62 rec yd59.5 ydMGM-120+3.9%WizEdge
NYJ @ TENSun 1 PM62yd79ydof 59.5
MIN vs GBSun 4 PMJustin JeffersonWR60 rec yd71.5 ydMGM-115−15.9%WizEdge
MIN vs GBSun 4 PM60yd92ydof 71.5
IND vs BALSun 1 PMAlec PierceWR59 rec yd28.5 ydMGM-135+106.0%WizEdge
IND vs BALSun 1 PM59yd61ydof 28.5
CAR vs CHISun 1 PMTetairoa McMillanWR58 rec yd60.5 ydFAN-110−3.9%WizEdge
CAR vs CHISun 1 PM58yd75ydof 60.5
DET vs NOSun 1 PMJameson WilliamsWR58 rec yd56.5 ydDK-113+2.9%WizEdgeDET vs NOSun 1 PM58yd45ydof 56.5
PIT vs ATLSun 1 PMDK MetcalfWR57 rec yd48.5 ydDK-110+17.1%WizEdge
PIT vs ATLSun 1 PM57yd40ydof 48.5
GB @ MINSun 4 PMChristian WatsonWR55 rec yd56.5 ydFD-113−2.8%WizEdge
GB @ MINSun 4 PM55yd147ydof 56.5
NYG vs DALSun 8 PMMalik NabersWR54 rec yd54.5 ydDK-112−0.8%WizEdge
NYG vs DALSun 8 PM54yd69ydof 54.5
IND vs BALSun 1 PMTyler WarrenTE53 rec yd47.5 ydDK-110+10.7%WizEdgeIND vs BALSun 1 PM53yd13ydof 47.5
CHI @ CARSun 1 PMColston LovelandTE52 rec yd54.5 ydDK-110−3.7%WizEdge
CHI @ CARSun 1 PM52yd0ydof 54.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
