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Projected receiving yards for every pass-catcher this week, built from projected targets and how his defense covers.
SEA @ ARISun 4 PMJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR108 rec yd80.5 ydMGM-115+33.7%WizEdge
SEA @ ARISun 4 PM108yd155ydof 80.5
DET @ BUFThu 8 PMAmon-Ra St. BrownWR90 rec yd79.5 ydFD-113+13.6%WizEdge
DET @ BUFThu 8 PM90yd142ydof 79.5
MIN @ CHISun 1 PMJustin JeffersonWR90 rec yd77.5 ydDK-113+16.4%WizEdge
MIN @ CHISun 1 PM90yd55ydof 77.5
NYJ vs GBSun 1 PMGarrett WilsonWR78 rec yd65.5 ydMGM-125+19.0%WizEdge
NYJ vs GBSun 1 PM78yd57ydof 65.5
ATL vs CARSun 1 PMDrake LondonWR70 rec yd54.5 ydMGM-115+28.7%WizEdge
ATL vs CARSun 1 PM70yd51ydof 54.5
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PMTetairoa McMillanWR70 rec yd55.5 ydFAN-135+25.5%WizEdge
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PM70yd101ydof 55.5
GB @ NYJSun 1 PMChristian WatsonWR66 rec yd61.5 ydDK-111+8.1%WizEdge
GB @ NYJSun 1 PM66yd41ydof 61.5
ATL vs CARSun 1 PMBijan RobinsonRB63 rec yd39.5 ydMGM-125+59.6%WizEdgeATL vs CARSun 1 PM63yd9ydof 39.5
ARI vs SEASun 4 PMTrey McBrideTE63 rec yd60.5 ydFD-113+3.6%WizEdge
ARI vs SEASun 4 PM63yd41ydof 60.5
CIN @ HOUSun 1 PMJa'Marr ChaseWR63 rec yd76.5 ydDK-113−18.1%WizEdge
CIN @ HOUSun 1 PM63yd75ydof 76.5
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PMCeeDee LambWR61 rec yd65.5 ydFAN-110−6.8%WizEdge
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PM61yd153ydof 65.5
GB @ NYJSun 1 PMMatthew GoldenWR60 rec yd49.5 ydMGM-111+21.5%WizEdgeGB @ NYJSun 1 PM60yd58ydof 49.5
PHI @ TENSun 1 PMDeVonta SmithWR58 rec yd60.5 ydFD-113−3.9%WizEdge
PHI @ TENSun 1 PM58yd117ydof 60.5
LAC vs LVSun 4 PMLadd McConkeyWR58 rec yd42.5 ydDK-111+35.3%WizEdge
LAC vs LVSun 4 PM58yd35ydof 42.5
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PMJalen CokerWR57 rec yd45.5 ydFAN-135+24.6%WizEdgeCAR @ ATLSun 1 PM57yd66ydof 45.5
CLE @ TBSun 1 PMKC ConcepcionWR56 rec yd30.5 ydFAN-125+83.0%WizEdge
CLE @ TBSun 1 PM56yd28ydof 30.5
JAX @ DENSun 4 PMParker WashingtonWR55 rec yd55.5 ydFAN-125−0.7%WizEdge
JAX @ DENSun 4 PM55yd98ydof 55.5
WSH @ DALSun 4 PMStefon DiggsWR53 rec yd47.5 ydFD-113+12.1%WizEdge
WSH @ DALSun 4 PM53yd47ydof 47.5
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PMGeorge PickensWR53 rec yd65.5 ydFD-113−19.4%WizEdgeDAL vs WSHSun 4 PM53yd40ydof 65.5
TB vs CLESun 1 PMEmeka EgbukaWR53 rec yd51.5 ydMGM-115+2.2%WizEdge
TB vs CLESun 1 PM53yd16ydof 51.5
CHI vs MINSun 1 PMRome OdunzeWR52 rec yd39.5 ydDK-109+30.9%WizEdge
CHI vs MINSun 1 PM52yd43ydof 39.5
TEN vs PHISun 1 PMWan'Dale RobinsonWR51 rec yd36.5 ydFD-113+40.0%WizEdge
TEN vs PHISun 1 PM51yd9ydof 36.5
SF vs MIASun 4 PMDeebo Samuel Sr.WR51 rec yd34.5 ydDK-111+47.2%WizEdge
SF vs MIASun 4 PM51yd31ydof 34.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
