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Projected receiving yards for every pass-catcher this week, built from projected targets and how his defense covers.
SEA @ WSHSun 1 PMJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR114 rec yd90.5 ydFD-113+26.2%WizEdge
SEA @ WSHSun 1 PM114yd128ydof 90.5
DET vs NYJSun 1 PMAmon-Ra St. BrownWR83 rec yd75.5 ydFD-113+9.9%WizEdge
DET vs NYJSun 1 PM83yd19ydof 75.5
CAR @ CLESun 1 PMTetairoa McMillanWR80 rec yd62.5 ydDK-113+28.1%WizEdge
CAR @ CLESun 1 PM80yd17ydof 62.5
NYJ @ DETSun 1 PMGarrett WilsonWR79 rec yd76.5 ydMGM-115+3.0%WizEdge
NYJ @ DETSun 1 PM79yd107ydof 76.5
DAL vs BALSun 4 PMCeeDee LambWR79 rec yd80.5 ydMGM-115−2.4%WizEdge
DAL vs BALSun 4 PM79yd112ydof 80.5
MIN @ TBSun 4 PMJustin JeffersonWR77 rec yd70.5 ydFAN-135+8.9%WizEdge
MIN @ TBSun 4 PM77yd32ydof 70.5
GB vs ATLThu 8 PMChristian WatsonWR74 rec yd48.5 ydMGM-275+52.3%WizEdge
GB vs ATLThu 8 PM74yd96ydof 48.5
JAX vs NESun 1 PMParker WashingtonWR72 rec yd70.5 ydDK-113+2.5%WizEdge
JAX vs NESun 1 PM72yd40ydof 70.5
PHI @ CHIMon 8 PMDeVonta SmithWR70 rec yd70.5 ydFD-113−1.3%WizEdge
PHI @ CHIMon 8 PM70yd65ydof 70.5
GB vs ATLThu 8 PMMatthew GoldenWR68 rec yd50.5 ydFAN-140+35.4%WizEdgeGB vs ATLThu 8 PM68yd100ydof 50.5
LAR @ DENSun 8 PMDavante AdamsWR68 rec yd71.5 ydDK-110−4.5%WizEdge
LAR @ DENSun 8 PM68yd137ydof 71.5
CIN @ PITSun 1 PMJa'Marr ChaseWR62 rec yd76.5 ydFD-113−19.1%WizEdge
CIN @ PITSun 1 PM62yd98ydof 76.5
NYG vs TENSun 1 PMMalik NabersWR57 rec yd52.5 ydFD-113+8.2%WizEdge
NYG vs TENSun 1 PM57yd26ydof 52.5
LAC @ BUFSun 1 PMLadd McConkeyWR56 rec yd58.5 ydFD-113−4.1%WizEdge
LAC @ BUFSun 1 PM56yd66ydof 58.5
HOU @ INDSun 1 PMDalton SchultzTE56 rec yd48.5 ydFD-113+15.2%WizEdge
HOU @ INDSun 1 PM56yd30ydof 48.5
DAL vs BALSun 4 PMGeorge PickensWR55 rec yd64.5 ydFD-113−15.1%WizEdgeDAL vs BALSun 4 PM55yd82ydof 64.5
TEN @ NYGSun 1 PMCarnell TateWR55 rec yd38.5 ydFD-113+42.2%WizEdge
TEN @ NYGSun 1 PM55yd58ydof 38.5
CHI vs PHIMon 8 PMLuther Burden IIIWR51 rec yd33.5 ydFD-113+52.6%WizEdge
CHI vs PHIMon 8 PM51yd61ydof 33.5
CHI vs PHIMon 8 PMRome OdunzeWR50 rec yd26.5 ydDK-112+90.0%WizEdgeCHI vs PHIMon 8 PM50yd44ydof 26.5
CLE vs CARSun 1 PMDenzel BostonWR50 rec yd45.5 ydFD-113+10.6%WizEdge
CLE vs CARSun 1 PM50yd41ydof 45.5
SF vs ARISun 4 PMDeebo Samuel Sr.WR49 rec yd40.5 ydFD-113+21.5%WizEdge
SF vs ARISun 4 PM49yd80ydof 40.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
