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Projected receiving yards for every pass-catcher this week, built from projected targets and how his defense covers.
SEA vs LACSun 4 PMJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR123 rec yd90.5 ydMGM-125+35.4%WizEdge
SEA vs LACSun 4 PM123yd76ydof 90.5
NYJ @ CHISun 1 PMGarrett WilsonWR86 rec yd75.5 ydMGM-110+14.1%WizEdge
NYJ @ CHISun 1 PM86yd27ydof 75.5
CAR vs DETSun 8 PMTetairoa McMillanWR84 rec yd65.5 ydFAN-135+27.9%WizEdge
CAR vs DETSun 8 PM84yd192ydof 65.5
BAL vs TENSun 1 PMZay FlowersWR80 rec yd65.5 ydFAN-125+22.8%WizEdge
BAL vs TENSun 1 PM80yd118ydof 65.5
DET @ CARSun 8 PMAmon-Ra St. BrownWR77 rec yd76.5 ydFD-113+0.2%WizEdge
DET @ CARSun 8 PM77yd75ydof 76.5
CIN vs JAXSun 1 PMJa'Marr ChaseWR76 rec yd75.5 ydFAN-135+1.1%WizEdge
CIN vs JAXSun 1 PM76yd27ydof 75.5
GB @ TBSun 1 PMChristian WatsonWR75 rec yd67.5 ydFD-113+11.1%WizEdge
GB @ TBSun 1 PM75yd47ydof 67.5
JAX @ CINSun 1 PMParker WashingtonWR70 rec yd77.5 ydDK-111−9.6%WizEdge
JAX @ CINSun 1 PM70yd7ydof 77.5
LAR @ PHISun 1 PMDavante AdamsWR70 rec yd59.5 ydFD-113+17.1%WizEdge
LAR @ PHISun 1 PM70yd32ydof 59.5
CIN vs JAXSun 1 PMTee HigginsWR67 rec yd62.5 ydMGM-111+6.7%WizEdgeCIN vs JAXSun 1 PM67yd157ydof 62.5
HOU vs DALSun 1 PMNico CollinsWR62 rec yd72.5 ydFD-113−14.8%WizEdge
HOU vs DALSun 1 PM62yd118ydof 72.5
TEN @ BALSun 1 PMCarnell TateWR61 rec yd44.5 ydDK-114+37.8%WizEdge
TEN @ BALSun 1 PM61yd145ydof 44.5
NYG vs ARISun 1 PMMalik NabersWR60 rec yd54.5 ydDK-111+10.8%WizEdge
NYG vs ARISun 1 PM60yd112ydof 54.5
DAL @ HOUSun 1 PMGeorge PickensWR57 rec yd69.5 ydDK-112−18.0%WizEdge
DAL @ HOUSun 1 PM57yd75ydof 69.5
CHI vs NYJSun 1 PMLuther Burden IIIWR55 rec yd45.5 ydMGM-115+21.6%WizEdge
CHI vs NYJSun 1 PM55yd63ydof 45.5
LAC @ SEASun 4 PMLadd McConkeyWR54 rec yd47.5 ydDK-110+14.0%WizEdge
LAC @ SEASun 4 PM54yd0ydof 47.5
MIN vs MIASun 4 PMJordan AddisonWR53 rec yd61.5 ydFD-113−14.5%WizEdge
MIN vs MIASun 4 PM53yd52ydof 61.5
IND @ WSHSun 9 AMTyler WarrenTE52 rec yd55.5 ydMGM-115−5.9%WizEdge
IND @ WSHSun 9 AM52yd41ydof 55.5
ARI @ NYGSun 1 PMMichael WilsonWR52 rec yd55.5 ydFAN-135−6.0%WizEdge
ARI @ NYGSun 1 PM52yd95ydof 55.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
