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Projected catches for every pass-catcher this week — useful for PPR lineups and reception props alike.
SEA vs NEWed 8 PM6.5rec8recof 6.5
DET vs NOSun 1 PM6.4rec10recof 6.5
TEN vs NYJSun 1 PM5.5rec4recof 3.5
NYJ @ TENSun 1 PM5.1rec6recof 5.5
DAL @ NYGSun 8 PM4.9rec3recof 4.5
MIN vs GBSun 4 PM4.9rec8recof 5.5
IND vs BALSun 1 PM4.9rec3recof 4.5
HOU vs BUFSun 1 PM4.6rec7recof 5.5
ATL @ PITSun 1 PM4.4rec8recof 4.5
PIT vs ATLSun 1 PM4.3rec3recof 3.5
CHI @ CARSun 1 PM4.3rec0recof 4.5
LV vs MIASun 4 PM4.3rec6recof 3.5
CAR vs CHISun 1 PM4.0rec5recof 4.5
DAL @ NYGSun 8 PM4.0rec2recof 3.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).