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Projected catches for every pass-catcher this week — useful for PPR lineups and reception props alike.
SEA @ WSHSun 1 PMJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR7.9 rec6.5 recFD-112+21.8%WizEdge
SEA @ WSHSun 1 PM7.9rec10recof 6.5
DET vs NYJSun 1 PMAmon-Ra St. BrownWR7.1 rec7.5 recFD+130−5.6%WizEdge
DET vs NYJSun 1 PM7.1rec4recof 7.5
NYJ @ DETSun 1 PMGarrett WilsonWR6.1 rec6.5 recFD-112−6.2%WizEdge
NYJ @ DETSun 1 PM6.1rec10recof 6.5
DAL vs BALSun 4 PMCeeDee LambWR5.8 rec6.5 recMGM-110−11.5%WizEdge
DAL vs BALSun 4 PM5.8rec7recof 6.5
CAR @ CLESun 1 PMTetairoa McMillanWR5.6 rec4.5 recDK-130+24.0%WizEdge
CAR @ CLESun 1 PM5.6rec2recof 4.5
ATL @ GBThu 8 PMBijan RobinsonRB5.4 rec4.5 recMGM-120+19.3%WizEdge
ATL @ GBThu 8 PM5.4rec2recof 4.5
JAX vs NESun 1 PMParker WashingtonWR5.3 rec5.5 recDK+111−3.1%WizEdge
JAX vs NESun 1 PM5.3rec3recof 5.5
PHI @ CHIMon 8 PMDeVonta SmithWR5.2 rec5.5 recMGM-110−6.2%WizEdge
PHI @ CHIMon 8 PM5.2rec6recof 5.5
IND vs HOUSun 1 PMTyler WarrenTE5.2 rec4.5 recDK-138+14.4%WizEdge
IND vs HOUSun 1 PM5.2rec9recof 4.5
GB vs ATLThu 8 PMChristian WatsonWR5.1 rec4.5 recFD-148+14.0%WizEdge
GB vs ATLThu 8 PM5.1rec7recof 4.5
HOU @ INDSun 1 PMDalton SchultzTE5.1 rec5.5 recDK+115−7.5%WizEdge
HOU @ INDSun 1 PM5.1rec3recof 5.5
CIN @ PITSun 1 PMJa'Marr ChaseWR5.0 rec6.5 recMGM-125−22.6%WizEdge
CIN @ PITSun 1 PM5.0rec9recof 6.5
DAL vs BALSun 4 PMGeorge PickensWR4.8 rec5.5 recMGM+110−13.1%WizEdgeDAL vs BALSun 4 PM4.8rec7recof 5.5
GB vs ATLThu 8 PMMatthew GoldenWR4.8 rec4.5 recDK+102+5.8%WizEdgeGB vs ATLThu 8 PM4.8rec5recof 4.5
MIA vs KCSun 1 PMDe'Von AchaneRB4.7 rec3.5 recDK-128+33.7%WizEdge
MIA vs KCSun 1 PM4.7rec0recof 3.5
NYG vs TENSun 1 PMMalik NabersWR4.6 rec4.5 recMGM+110+2.0%WizEdge
NYG vs TENSun 1 PM4.6rec5recof 4.5
SF vs ARISun 4 PMChristian McCaffreyRB4.5 rec4.5 recMGM-115−0.9%WizEdge
SF vs ARISun 4 PM4.5rec4recof 4.5
LAR @ DENSun 8 PMDavante AdamsWR4.5 rec5.5 recMGM-120−18.9%WizEdge
LAR @ DENSun 8 PM4.5rec7recof 5.5
DET vs NYJSun 1 PMJahmyr GibbsRB4.3 rec4.5 recFD+112−4.9%WizEdgeDET vs NYJSun 1 PM4.3rec7recof 4.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
