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Projected catches for every pass-catcher this week — useful for PPR lineups and reception props alike.
SEA @ ARISun 4 PMJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR8.1 rec6.5 recDK+101+24.2%WizEdge
SEA @ ARISun 4 PM8.1rec9recof 6.5
DET @ BUFThu 8 PMAmon-Ra St. BrownWR7.5 rec7.5 recMGM+100+0.3%WizEdge
DET @ BUFThu 8 PM7.5rec9recof 7.5
ATL vs CARSun 1 PMBijan RobinsonRB7.4 rec4.5 recFD-154+65.3%WizEdge
ATL vs CARSun 1 PM7.4rec3recof 4.5
MIN @ CHISun 1 PMJustin JeffersonWR7.0 rec6.5 recFD+102+7.5%WizEdge
MIN @ CHISun 1 PM7.0rec3recof 6.5
NYJ vs GBSun 1 PMGarrett WilsonWR6.1 rec5.5 recDK-125+10.9%WizEdge
NYJ vs GBSun 1 PM6.1rec5recof 5.5
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PMTetairoa McMillanWR5.4 rec4.5 recFD-102+20.4%WizEdge
CAR @ ATLSun 1 PM5.4rec5recof 4.5
ATL vs CARSun 1 PMDrake LondonWR5.3 rec4.5 recDK-121+16.9%WizEdgeATL vs CARSun 1 PM5.3rec4recof 4.5
SF vs MIASun 4 PMChristian McCaffreyRB4.9 rec4.5 recMGM-118+9.6%WizEdge
SF vs MIASun 4 PM4.9rec4recof 4.5
CIN @ HOUSun 1 PMJa'Marr ChaseWR4.9 rec6.5 recDK-114−24.3%WizEdge
CIN @ HOUSun 1 PM4.9rec7recof 6.5
GB @ NYJSun 1 PMMatthew GoldenWR4.5 rec3.5 recMGM-155+29.7%WizEdge
GB @ NYJSun 1 PM4.5rec4recof 3.5
GB @ NYJSun 1 PMChristian WatsonWR4.5 rec4.5 recFD+128−0.4%WizEdgeGB @ NYJSun 1 PM4.5rec4recof 4.5
SF vs MIASun 4 PMDeebo Samuel Sr.WR4.4 rec3.5 recDK+112+26.3%WizEdgeSF vs MIASun 4 PM4.4rec3recof 3.5
TEN vs PHISun 1 PMWan'Dale RobinsonWR4.3 rec4.5 recFD+112−3.3%WizEdge
TEN vs PHISun 1 PM4.3rec1recof 4.5
PHI @ TENSun 1 PMDeVonta SmithWR4.3 rec4.5 recFD-136−3.3%WizEdge
PHI @ TENSun 1 PM4.3rec10recof 4.5
PHI @ TENSun 1 PMDallas GoedertTE4.3 rec3.5 recFD-132+22.0%WizEdgePHI @ TENSun 1 PM4.3rec1recof 3.5
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PMGeorge PickensWR4.3 rec4.5 recDK-112−5.6%WizEdge
DAL vs WSHSun 4 PM4.3rec6recof 4.5
LAC vs LVSun 4 PMLadd McConkeyWR4.2 rec3.5 recDK-130+21.1%WizEdge
LAC vs LVSun 4 PM4.2rec3recof 3.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
