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Projected catches for every pass-catcher this week — useful for PPR lineups and reception props alike.
SEA vs LACSun 4 PMJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR8.6 rec6.5 recDK-139+31.5%WizEdge
SEA vs LACSun 4 PM8.6rec5recof 6.5
NYJ @ CHISun 1 PMGarrett WilsonWR6.8 rec6.5 recMGM+110+5.4%WizEdge
NYJ @ CHISun 1 PM6.8rec3recof 6.5
DET @ CARSun 8 PMAmon-Ra St. BrownWR6.7 rec6.5 recFD-148+3.7%WizEdge
DET @ CARSun 8 PM6.7rec8recof 6.5
CIN vs JAXSun 1 PMJa'Marr ChaseWR6.1 rec7.5 recFD+120−19.1%WizEdge
CIN vs JAXSun 1 PM6.1rec3recof 7.5
CAR vs DETSun 8 PMTetairoa McMillanWR5.8 rec5.5 recMGM+120+5.6%WizEdge
CAR vs DETSun 8 PM5.8rec14recof 5.5
TEN @ BALSun 1 PMCarnell TateWR5.2 rec4.5 recMGM+110+16.2%WizEdge
TEN @ BALSun 1 PM5.2rec9recof 4.5
NYG vs ARISun 1 PMMalik NabersWR5.1 rec4.5 recFD-130+14.0%WizEdge
NYG vs ARISun 1 PM5.1rec6recof 4.5
DET @ CARSun 8 PMJahmyr GibbsRB5.1 rec4.5 recMGM-120+13.1%WizEdgeDET @ CARSun 8 PM5.1rec4recof 4.5
JAX @ CINSun 1 PMParker WashingtonWR5.0 rec5.5 recFD+106−8.7%WizEdge
JAX @ CINSun 1 PM5.0rec1recof 5.5
DAL @ HOUSun 1 PMGeorge PickensWR5.0 rec4.5 recFD-144+10.2%WizEdge
DAL @ HOUSun 1 PM5.0rec2recof 4.5
HOU vs DALSun 1 PMNico CollinsWR4.9 rec5.5 recFD+102−10.4%WizEdge
HOU vs DALSun 1 PM4.9rec7recof 5.5
CHI vs NYJSun 1 PMLuther Burden IIIWR4.7 rec4.5 recMGM+110+3.6%WizEdge
CHI vs NYJSun 1 PM4.7rec4recof 4.5
ARI @ NYGSun 1 PMMichael WilsonWR4.6 rec4.5 recDK-153+2.7%WizEdge
ARI @ NYGSun 1 PM4.6rec7recof 4.5
TEN @ BALSun 1 PMWan'Dale RobinsonWR4.5 rec3.5 recDK-151+27.4%WizEdgeTEN @ BALSun 1 PM4.5rec3recof 3.5
SF vs DENSun 4 PMChristian McCaffreyRB4.4 rec4.5 recFD-138−2.7%WizEdge
SF vs DENSun 4 PM4.4rec3recof 4.5How often our number landed on the right side of the line a book actually posted. Every quoted line counts, not just the big disagreements — and a push settles as neither. There are no units here: two seasons of walk-forward say these lines are efficient, so we grade accuracy and don't claim an edge we can't show. Green means it beat what picking a side with no model at all would have scored.
Every number here comes from the same drive-level simulation as the matchups board, so a player's line and his team's projected points are the same game. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
