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NHL Anytime Goal

The chance a skater scores at all tonight, at his own average ice time — derived from his goal rate rather than counted.

Fri, Oct 23 · 2 games

99 skaters priced for the slate, 76 with a book line. The WizLine is the chance it happens tonight, from his shrunk rate at his projected minutes. Beside it: the line most books hang, the best price on each side and who has it. WizEdge is our chance minus the books' with the hold taken out. This one is quoted Yes-only, so its WizEdge is against the best Yes price with the hold still in it: conservative, not no-vig.

Games2
Position
Book
SkaterMatchupWizLine
1MTL @ CHI8:00 PMCole CaufieldRW19:51 projected TOIYesDK+110−3.9%WizEdgeMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM43.8%+129
2COL vs TBL9:00 PMNathan MacKinnonC21:17 projected TOIYesFD+120−3.2%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM42.3%+136
3TBL @ COL9:00 PMBrandon HagelLW21:25 projected TOIYesFD+180+3.3%WizEdgeTBLTBL @ COL9:00 PM39.1%+156
4TBL @ COL9:00 PMNikita KucherovRW21:18 projected TOIYesFD+175+1.6%WizEdgeTBLTBL @ COL9:00 PM37.9%+164
5COL vs TBL9:00 PMMartin NecasC20:24 projected TOIYesFD+210+2.6%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM34.8%+187
6TBL @ COL9:00 PMJake GuentzelC20:08 projected TOIYesFD+190−1.0%WizEdgeTBLTBL @ COL9:00 PM33.5%+199
7COL vs TBL9:00 PMArtturi LehkonenLW19:00 projected TOIYesFD+240+2.5%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM31.9%+213
8MTL @ CHI8:00 PMJuraj SlafkovskýLW19:14 projected TOIYesDK+190−4.1%WizEdgeMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM30.4%+229
9COL vs TBL9:00 PMBrock NelsonC18:30 projected TOIYesFD+320+5.9%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM29.7%+237
10CHI vs MTL8:00 PMConnor BedardC20:23 projected TOIYesFD+170−7.6%WizEdgeCHICHI vs MTL8:00 PM29.4%+240
11CHI vs MTL8:00 PMTyler BertuzziLW17:19 projected TOIYesFD+250−2.9%WizEdgeCHICHI vs MTL8:00 PM25.7%+289
12TBL @ COL9:00 PMAnthony CirelliC17:04 projected TOIYesDK+350+3.1%WizEdgeTBLTBL @ COL9:00 PM25.4%+294
13MTL @ CHI8:00 PMAlex NewhookC16:12 projected TOIYesFAN+350+1.7%WizEdgeMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM23.9%+318
14COL vs TBL9:00 PMGabriel LandeskogLW15:57 projected TOIYesDK+360+2.1%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM23.8%+320
15TBL @ COL9:00 PMBrayden PointC18:39 projected TOIYesFD+235−6.3%WizEdgeTBLTBL @ COL9:00 PM23.5%+325
16CHI vs MTL8:00 PMRoman KantserovRW18:29 projected TOIYesFD+275−3.3%WizEdgeCHICHI vs MTL8:00 PM23.4%+327
17MTL @ CHI8:00 PMChris KreiderLW15:11 projected TOIYesFD+250−6.1%WizEdgeMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM22.5%+345
18MTL @ CHI8:00 PMJosh AndersonRW14:08 projected TOIYesFD+380+1.3%WizEdgeMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM22.1%+352
19COL vs TBL9:00 PMNazem KadriC20:21 projected TOIYesDK+280−4.6%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM21.7%+360
20CHI vs MTL8:00 PMPatrick KaneRW19:19 projected TOIYesFD+280−4.9%WizEdgeCHICHI vs MTL8:00 PM21.4%+367
21CHI vs MTL8:00 PMFrank NazarC17:02 projected TOIYesFD+360−0.5%WizEdgeCHICHI vs MTL8:00 PM21.2%+371
22COL vs TBL9:00 PMT.J. HughesRW14:51 projected TOIYesFD+400+0.5%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM20.5%+389
23MTL @ CHI8:00 PMZachary BolducRW13:51 projected TOIYesDK+350−1.8%WizEdgeMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM20.4%+390
24COL vs TBL9:00 PMJaden SchwartzLW14:03 projected TOIYesDK+380−0.7%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM20.1%+397
25COL vs TBL9:00 PMParker KellyC12:49 projected TOIYesDK+750+7.8%WizEdgeCOLCOL vs TBL9:00 PM19.6%+410
26MTL @ CHI8:00 PMSamuel PoulinRW13:49 projected TOINo line yetMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM19.6%+411
27MTL @ CHI8:00 PMOliver KapanenC12:11 projected TOIYesFAN+300−5.5%WizEdgeMTLMTL @ CHI8:00 PM19.5%+412
28TBL @ COL9:00 PMIlya MikheyevRW15:11 projected TOIYesFD+600+5.1%WizEdgeTBLTBL @ COL9:00 PM19.4%+416
29CHI vs MTL8:00 PMAnton FrondellC16:59 projected TOIYesDK+370−2.0%WizEdgeCHICHI vs MTL8:00 PM19.2%+420
30TBL @ COL9:00 PMPontus HolmbergRW13:54 projected TOIYesFAN+575+2.9%WizEdgeTBLTBL @ COL9:00 PM17.7%+465

Not a play. Every one of these is graded against the closing line the morning after, and nothing is posted until a market beats the book on a full season, out of sample. We're still tuning this market, so its record isn't shown here yet — the grading runs every morning all the same.

2026-27 · the rate behind it

715 skaters over 2026-27, 1,634 hours of ice time. Per-game odds, shrunk toward the league base — solved from this season, not a checked-in number.

SkaterTeamPer game
1MINKirill KaprizovLW11 GP · 21:48 TOI · 11 timesLeague 14.9%MINMIN35.1%per game
2EDMConnor McDavidC10 GP · 23:46 TOI · 8 timesLeague 14.9%EDMEDM34.5%per game
3EDMLeon DraisaitlC10 GP · 21:42 TOI · 10 timesLeague 14.9%EDMEDM34.4%per game
4WPGKyle ConnorLW10 GP · 21:02 TOI · 9 timesLeague 14.9%WPGWPG32.7%per game
5TBLBrandon HagelLW9 GP · 21:32 TOI · 7 timesLeague 14.9%TBLTBL31.6%per game
6OTTTim StützleC11 GP · 22:00 TOI · 7 timesLeague 14.9%OTTOTT31.3%per game
7TORAuston MatthewsC12 GP · 21:05 TOI · 8 timesLeague 14.9%TORTOR31.0%per game
8SJSMacklin CelebriniC9 GP · 22:49 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%SJSSJS30.7%per game
9LAKArtemi PanarinLW8 GP · 21:18 TOI · 6 timesLeague 14.9%LAKLAK30.7%per game
10COLNathan MacKinnonC10 GP · 21:17 TOI · 6 timesLeague 14.9%COLCOL29.9%per game
11MTLNick SuzukiC9 GP · 21:47 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%MTLMTL29.7%per game
12COLArtturi LehkonenLW10 GP · 19:00 TOI · 8 timesLeague 14.9%COLCOL29.5%per game
13MINMatt BoldyLW11 GP · 22:02 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%MINMIN29.2%per game
14CARSebastian AhoC12 GP · 20:08 TOI · 7 timesLeague 14.9%CARCAR29.1%per game
15NYRAlexis LafrenièreLW12 GP · 19:01 TOI · 8 timesLeague 14.9%NYRNYR28.9%per game
16EDMVasily PodkolzinRW10 GP · 19:08 TOI · 7 timesLeague 14.9%EDMEDM28.7%per game
17DETAlex DeBrincatRW10 GP · 20:02 TOI · 6 timesLeague 14.9%DETDET28.6%per game
18MTLCole CaufieldRW9 GP · 19:41 TOI · 6 timesLeague 14.9%MTLMTL28.6%per game
19ANABeckett SenneckeRW10 GP · 20:55 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%ANAANA28.5%per game
20DALMikko RantanenRW10 GP · 20:49 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%DALDAL28.4%per game
21NYIBo HorvatC10 GP · 20:45 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%NYINYI28.3%per game
22TORWilliam NylanderRW12 GP · 20:23 TOI · 6 timesLeague 14.9%TORTOR28.3%per game
23TBLNikita KucherovRW9 GP · 21:20 TOI · 4 timesLeague 14.9%TBLTBL28.2%per game
24COLMartin NecasC10 GP · 20:24 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%COLCOL28.0%per game
25NSHRyan O'ReillyC9 GP · 21:07 TOI · 4 timesLeague 14.9%NSHNSH28.0%per game
26BOSDavid PastrnakRW11 GP · 19:38 TOI · 6 timesLeague 14.9%BOSBOS27.9%per game
27VGKMark StoneRW12 GP · 18:05 TOI · 8 timesLeague 14.9%VGKVGK27.9%per game
28FLASam ReinhartC11 GP · 20:22 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%FLAFLA27.6%per game
29VGKJack EichelC12 GP · 19:38 TOI · 6 timesLeague 14.9%VGKVGK27.6%per game
30BUFTage ThompsonC10 GP · 19:59 TOI · 5 timesLeague 14.9%BUFBUF27.6%per game

This is a measured rate, not a model. The number is real — it's what he did, shrunk so a short sample doesn't masquerade as a hot one — but nothing here has been fitted and scored against a season it hadn't seen. Shots on goal is the only board that has.

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