La Liga Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. La Liga team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Wednesday, August 19
ATM v MCF
FT · 2–0
Goal count · Over 2.551%-106fair-149mkt-8.4%
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+187fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half19%+419fair—mkt—
ATM to score in both halves35%+185fair—mkt—
MCF to score in both halves13%+646fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).