Ligue 1 Match Board — Saturday, November 21, 2026

Every Ligue 1 match on Saturday, November 21, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML2-7−4.6u

Over 2.56-3+0.7u

BTTS2-7−6.3u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 8 of 9 on ML, 7 of 9 on Over 2.5, 8 of 9 on BTTS.

Saturday, November 21

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge

3:00 PM ET

AS Monacovs AUX

AJ Auxerre

Stade Louis II · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Lensvs

Toulouse

Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Lillevs

Lyon

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Lorientvs

Stade Rennais

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Marseillevs MNS

Le Mans

Stade Vélodrome · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Nicevs

Paris Saint-Germain

Allianz Riviera · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Paris FCvs ANG

Angers

Stade Jean Bouin · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Strasbourgvs BRE

Brest

Stade de la Meinau · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

3:00 PM ET

Troyesvs

Le Havre AC

Stade de l'Aube · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).