Ligue 1 Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Ligue 1 team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Saturday, August 22
RCL v AUX
FT · 5–2
Goal count · Over 2.555%-120fair-134mkt-2.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.537%+172fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half19%+436fair—mkt—
RCL to score in both halves41%+145fair—mkt—
AUX to score in both halves11%+826fair—mkt—
MNS v BRE
FT · 2–2
Goal count · Over 2.561%-158fair+108mkt+13.2%
1st-half goals · Over 1.542%+140fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half24%+313fair—mkt—
MNS to score in both halves40%+147fair—mkt—
BRE to score in both halves18%+450fair—mkt—
TOU v LYON
FT · 0–2
Goal count · Over 2.551%-104fair-103mkt+0.3%
1st-half goals · Over 1.535%+189fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half20%+399fair—mkt—
TOU to score in both halves32%+209fair—mkt—
LYON to score in both halves16%+538fair—mkt—
NICE v LOR
FT · 0–0
Goal count · Over 2.560%-150fair+132mkt+17.0%
1st-half goals · Over 1.541%+145fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half24%+317fair—mkt—
NICE to score in both halves39%+159fair—mkt—
LOR to score in both halves19%+436fair—mkt—
TRY v PAR
FT · 0–0
Goal count · Over 2.560%-147fair-117mkt+5.7%
1st-half goals · Over 1.540%+147fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half23%+336fair—mkt—
TRY to score in both halves40%+149fair—mkt—
PAR to score in both halves16%+508fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).