Ligue 1 Team Props
Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.
⚙ New model, graded in the open. Ligue 1 team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.
Sunday, August 23
ANG v LILL
FT · 0–2
Goal count · Over 2.547%+111fair+108mkt-0.8%
1st-half goals · Over 1.532%+210fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half20%+412fair—mkt—
ANG to score in both halves25%+306fair—mkt—
LILL to score in both halves20%+409fair—mkt—
HAC v MON
FT · 0–1
Goal count · Over 2.548%+109fair-121mkt-6.9%
1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+207fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half19%+415fair—mkt—
HAC to score in both halves27%+265fair—mkt—
MON to score in both halves17%+473fair—mkt—
REN v PSG
FT · 2–2
Goal count · Over 2.563%-170fair—mkt—
1st-half goals · Over 1.543%+133fair—mkt—
Both teams to score · 1st half27%+267fair—mkt—
REN to score in both halves29%+243fair—mkt—
PSG to score in both halves32%+215fair—mkt—
Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).