Serie A Team Props

Every game's team markets from our goal model — goal count, 1st-half goals, both teams to score in the 1st half, and each side to score in both halves, next to the books where they hang a line.

⚙ New model, graded in the open. Serie A team markets are priced off actual goals, not xG, by a brand-new model — nothing here is a pick. BTTS-1st-half and score-in-both-halves are model-only (no book hangs them). Research, not betting advice — 21+.

Saturday, August 29

FIO v FRO FRO

12:30 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.543%+132fair-106mkt-8.3%

1st-half goals · Over 1.530%+238fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half18%+460fair—mkt—

FIO to score in both halves21%+383fair—mkt—

FRO to score in both halves20%+410fair—mkt—

MON v UDI UDI

12:30 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.554%-115fair+137mkt+11.4%

1st-half goals · Over 1.536%+175fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half23%+345fair—mkt—

MON to score in both halves25%+299fair—mkt—

UDI to score in both halves25%+293fair—mkt—

SAS v TOR TOR

12:30 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.549%+104fair+112mkt+1.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.533%+200fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half20%+401fair—mkt—

SAS to score in both halves28%+257fair—mkt—

TOR to score in both halves18%+456fair—mkt—

JUV v PAR PAR

2:45 PM ET

Goal count · Over 2.535%+183fair-134mkt-21.9%

1st-half goals · Over 1.525%+306fair—mkt—

Both teams to score · 1st half13%+650fair—mkt—

JUV to score in both halves24%+310fair—mkt—

PAR to score in both halves9%+971fair—mkt—

Ours = our model's probability. Fair = that as no-vig odds. Mkt = the books' vig-free price where offered. Edge = our probability minus the market's. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).