MatchWiz

Alavés

La Liga · 6th · 11 pts · GD +5
WWLLD

Alavés are 6th in La Liga, 3-2-2, with 1.57 scored and 0.86 conceded a game — a goal difference built on the attack.

Next match

Oct 10 · 10:15 AM ET
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
10:15 AM ET
Proj1.4–1.4
Match page →
ALAAlavésHOME35%1.4proj+189fair+358mktModel lean+12.7%
Draw28%—proj+261fair+289mkt+2.0%
ATMAtlético MadridAWAY38%1.4proj+165fair-110mkt-14.7%
O2.5 53% · mkt 52%BTTS 58%1H O1.5 36%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

This season

La Liga · 2026-27
Record3-2-27 played
Scored1.5711 goals
Conceded0.866 against
Clean sheets3Of 7 matches
Both scored43%Of their matches
Over 2.543%Three goals or more
Home3-0-19–34 matches
Away0-2-12–33 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27
Win/draw/win4-357%
Over 2.53-443%
Both to score2-529%

Every pick the model made on Alavés this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 7 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full La Liga table
#ClubPGDPts
5Sevilla7+113
6Alavés7+511
7Deportivo7+210

Alavés's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Alavés sit 6th on 11 points after 7 matches. That's mid-table — clear of trouble, short of Europe. That's 1.57 points a game.

Going forward

11 goals in 7 matches is where Alavés's season sits going forward — 1.57 a game. That's a healthy return — enough that they're rarely priced as the quiet half of a low-scoring game. 43% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Alavés have conceded 6 goals, 0.86 a game. Concede at that rate and you're in most games before you've kicked a ball. They've kept 3 clean sheets — 43% of their matches.

Better at home

Alavés are 3-0-1 at home and 0-2-1 away. That's 2.25 points a game against 0.67. Home advantage is real in this sport, but a gap this size is bigger than the league-wide effect and usually narrows.

The shape of their games

Their matches sit close to the league norm for goals. Both teams have scored in 43% of Alavés's matches, and 43% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.

How the model has done on them

The goal model has called 7 matches involving Alavés this season and got 4 right — 57%. A three-way market makes a blind guess hard, so on this sample that's real — with the caveat that the sample is small. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 7 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.

Next up

Alavés are at home to Atlético Madrid. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 4 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.

Common questions

Where are Alavés in the La Liga table?

Alavés are 6th on 11 points from 7 matches, with 11 goals scored and 6 goals conceded.

How many goals do Alavés score a game?

Alavés are averaging 1.57 goals a game this season and conceding 0.86. 43% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.

How many clean sheets have Alavés kept?

3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Does MatchWiz predict Alavés matches?

Every Alavés fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 7 matches of theirs this season and got 4 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Upcoming

Oct 10Atlético Madrid10:15 AM
Oct 18@ Celta Vigo10:15 AM
Oct 25Málaga2:00 PM
Nov 1@ Barcelona3:00 PM
Nov 8@ Sevilla3:00 PM

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