Villarreal

La Liga · 9th · 8 pts · GD +1

LLLWW

Villarreal are 9th in La Liga, 2-2-3, with 1.86 scored and 1.71 conceded a game — and very little between the two ends.

Next match

Oct 10 · 3:00 PM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

3:00 PM ET

Proj2.4–1.2

Match page →

Real MadridHOME64%2.4proj-176fair-223mkt-5.2%

Draw20%—proj+408fair+508mkt+3.2%

VillarrealAWAY17%1.2proj+506fair+592mkt+2.1%

O2.5 71%BTTS 65%1H O1.5 49%

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

This season

La Liga · 2026-27

Record2-2-37 played

Scored1.8613 goals

Conceded1.7112 against

Clean sheets0Of 7 matches

Both scored86%Of their matches

Over 2.586%Three goals or more

Home1-0-26–63 matches

Away1-2-17–64 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win3-443%

Over 2.54-357%

Both to score5-271%

Every pick the model made on Villarreal this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 7 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full La Liga table

#ClubPGDPts

Alavés7+511

Deportivo7+210

Real Sociedad7-410

Villarreal7+18

Athletic Club6+18

Getafe7-38

Rayo Vallecano7-58

Villarreal's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Villarreal sit 9th on 8 points after 7 matches. That's mid-table — clear of trouble, short of Europe. That's 1.14 points a game.

Going forward

13 goals in 7 matches is where Villarreal's season sits going forward — 1.86 a game. That's a healthy return — enough that they're rarely priced as the quiet half of a low-scoring game. 86% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Villarreal have conceded 12 goals, 1.71 a game. That's leaky enough to cost them points they'd otherwise take. They haven't kept a clean sheet yet.

The shape of their games

Their matches are open at both ends. Both teams have scored in 86% of Villarreal's matches, and 86% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.

How the model has done on them

The goal model has called 7 matches involving Villarreal this season and got 3 right — 43%. That's behind the market on this club's matches, and we publish it rather than hide it. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 7 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.

Next up

Villarreal are away at Real Madrid. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 5 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.

Common questions

Where are Villarreal in the La Liga table?

Villarreal are 9th on 8 points from 7 matches, with 13 goals scored and 12 goals conceded.

How many goals do Villarreal score a game?

Villarreal are averaging 1.86 goals a game this season and conceding 1.71. 86% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.

Does MatchWiz predict Villarreal matches?

Every Villarreal fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 7 matches of theirs this season and got 3 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.