Real Madrid

La Liga · 4th · 15 pts · GD +10

WLWWL

Real Madrid are 4th in La Liga, 5-0-2, with 2.57 scored and 1.14 conceded a game — a goal difference built on the attack.

Next match

Oct 10 · 3:00 PM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

3:00 PM ET

Proj2.4–1.2

Match page →

Real MadridHOME64%2.4proj-176fair-223mkt-5.2%

Draw20%—proj+408fair+508mkt+3.2%

VillarrealAWAY17%1.2proj+506fair+592mkt+2.1%

O2.5 71%BTTS 65%1H O1.5 49%

ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

This season

La Liga · 2026-27

Record5-0-27 played

Scored2.5718 goals

Conceded1.148 against

Clean sheets1Of 7 matches

Both scored71%Of their matches

Over 2.586%Three goals or more

Home3-0-012–23 matches

Away2-0-26–64 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win4-357%

Over 2.55-271%

Both to score5-271%

Every pick the model made on Real Madrid this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 7 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full La Liga table

#ClubPGDPts

Barcelona7+2421

Atlético Madrid7+916

Real Betis7+216

Real Madrid7+1015

Sevilla7+113

Alavés7+511

Deportivo7+210

Real Madrid's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Real Madrid sit 4th on 15 points after 7 matches. That's a continental place as it stands. That's 2.14 points a game.

Going forward

Real Madrid have scored 18 goals in 7 matches — 2.57 a game. That's a side that scores in almost every game, and the goal totals on their matches price accordingly. 86% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Real Madrid have conceded 8 goals, 1.14 a game. That's solid without being airtight. They've kept 1 clean sheet — 14% of their matches.

Better at home

Real Madrid are 3-0-0 at home and 2-0-2 away. That's 3.00 points a game against 1.50. Home advantage is real in this sport, but a gap this size is bigger than the league-wide effect and usually narrows.

The shape of their games

Their matches are open at both ends. Both teams have scored in 71% of Real Madrid's matches, and 86% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.

How the model has done on them

The goal model has called 7 matches involving Real Madrid this season and got 4 right — 57%. A three-way market makes a blind guess hard, so on this sample that's real — with the caveat that the sample is small. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 7 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.

Next up

Real Madrid are at home to Villarreal. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 5 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.

Common questions

Where are Real Madrid in the La Liga table?

Real Madrid are 4th on 15 points from 7 matches, with 18 goals scored and 8 goals conceded.

How many goals do Real Madrid score a game?

Real Madrid are averaging 2.57 goals a game this season and conceding 1.14. 86% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.

How many clean sheets have Real Madrid kept?

1 clean sheet in 7 matches.

Does MatchWiz predict Real Madrid matches?

Every Real Madrid fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 7 matches of theirs this season and got 4 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.