Best MLB Triples Matchups — Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Top triples spot: James Wood
James Wood (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. The lefty is running the bases at — 3B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a triple in about 0% of his trips. And Michael Lorenzen has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Michael Lorenzen, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (100) vs LHP Carson Palmquist: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, hot bat.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (99) vs LHP Carson Palmquist: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) (92) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (91) vs LHP Carson Palmquist: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- José Tena (WSH) (84) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Willi Castro (COL) (83) vs LHP Carson Palmquist: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- CJ Abrams (WSH) (76) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
Parks where triples happen today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% triple park). Top bat there: James Wood (WSH) at 100.
How it played out
9 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play James Wood finished with 2 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.