Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Lakers95
Warriors112FinalChase CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lakers | 38 | 15 | 27 | 15 | 95 |
 Warriors | 15 | 38 | 32 | 27 | 112 |
Box score
FinalLos Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DoncicG | 37 | 37 | 7 | 5 | 12-27 | 6-16 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Austin ReavesG | 37 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| Walker KesslerC | 31 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jake LaRaviaF | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Matisse ThybulleG | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Quentin GrimesG | 26 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF | 20 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Collin SextonG | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jarred VanderbiltF | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bronny JamesG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris ManonGuard | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden HardyG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 95 | 45 | 18 | 33-82 | 11-39 | 18-24 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 21 |
Did not play AK Okereke coach's decision · Kevon Looney coach's decision
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin PodziemskiG | 33 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Draymond GreenF | 32 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Stephen CurryG | 31 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 11-23 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Georges NiangF | 19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Al HorfordC | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Gui SantosF | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Will RichardG | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Charles BasseyC | 9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| LJ CryerG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malevy LeonsF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 112 | 44 | 31 | 38-89 | 22-46 | 14-17 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 21 |
Team stats
Final| Lakers | Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-82 | FG | 38-89 |
| 40.2% | FG% | 42.7% |
| 11-39 | 3PT | 22-46 |
| 28.2% | 3PT% | 47.8% |
| 18-24 | FT | 14-17 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 44 |
| 16 | Off reb | 15 |
| 18 | Assists | 31 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 11 | Blocks | 5 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
98.5 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 30ProjectedLakers 113.5 · Warriors 113.6
Our lineWarriors −0.2
Total227.1
Win probWarriors 51% · Lakers 49%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.