Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Warriors134
Nuggets114FinalBall ArenaScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors | 28 | 32 | 40 | 34 | 134 |
 Nuggets | 32 | 24 | 28 | 30 | 114 |
Box score
FinalGolden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin PodziemskiG | 33 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 31 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 9-19 | 1-8 | 12-13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Gui SantosF | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Stephen CurryG | 27 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 8-8 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Draymond GreenF | 27 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| Al HorfordC | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 19 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Georges NiangF | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| LJ CryerG | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Graham IkeF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Malevy LeonsF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Will RichardG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles BasseyC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | — | 134 | 45 | 31 | 46-85 | 22-44 | 20-21 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 24 |
Did not play Kristaps Porzingis coach's decision
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal MurrayG | 36 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Nikola JokicC | 35 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Christian BraunG | 34 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| Bryce HopkinsF | 31 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| DeMar DeRozanG | 29 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Aaron GordonF | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Trevon BrazileF | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Marvin Bagley IIIF | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyus JonesG | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Zeke NnajiF | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam WhitmoreF | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Ryan NembhardG | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DaRon Holmes IIF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 114 | 32 | 31 | 42-84 | 10-29 | 20-23 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 17 |
Team stats
Final| Warriors | Nuggets | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-85 | FG | 42-84 |
| 54.1% | FG% | 50.0% |
| 22-44 | 3PT | 10-29 |
| 50.0% | 3PT% | 34.5% |
| 20-21 | FT | 20-23 |
| 45 | Rebounds | 32 |
| 13 | Off reb | 10 |
| 31 | Assists | 31 |
| 5 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
97.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Monday, October 26ProjectedWarriors 112.2 · Nuggets 118.7
Our lineNuggets −6.5
Total230.9
Win probNuggets 74% · Warriors 26%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.