College Football Predictions — 2026 Week 11
Our biggest call in Week 11 is Notre Dame over Boston College by 32.9 points, with the home side winning 99% of the simulations. 66 of 67 games with an FBS team on the field are priced, last run Nov 4, 7:39 PM ET: our projected score for each side, the margin, the total and how often the home team wins it, next to the book's spread. Margin is home minus road, so a plus sign means we like the home team.
Download CSVSame rows, same order, one file per week.
| Kickoff (ET) | Road | Home | Road pts | Home pts | Margin | Total | Home win | Book | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 10, 7:00 PM | Western Michigan | Akron | 30.6 | 21.5 | -9.1 | 51.0 | 0.293 | ||
| Tue Nov 10, 7:00 PM | Kent State | Bowling Green | 21.0 | 27.7 | +6.7 | 48.0 | 0.655 | ||
| Tue Nov 10, 8:00 PM | Ohio | Miami (OH) | 25.6 | 25.9 | +0.4 | 51.0 | 0.482 | ||
| Wed Nov 11, 12:00 AM | Buffalo | Ball State | 28.9 | 25.3 | -3.6 | 54.0 | 0.435 | ||
| Wed Nov 11, 12:00 AM | Massachusetts | Toledo | 18.1 | 35.8 | +17.8 | 54.0 | 0.869 | ||
| Wed Nov 11, 7:30 PM | Sacramento State | Central Michigan | 17.3 | 33.8 | +16.5 | 51.0 | 0.854 | ||
| Thu Nov 12, 8:00 PM | Memphis | South Florida | 29.6 | 23.5 | -6.1 | 52.0 | 0.368 | ||
| Thu Nov 12, 9:00 PM | Louisiana | UL Monroe | 34.6 | 18.2 | -16.4 | 52.0 | 0.151 | ||
| Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM | Florida State | Pittsburgh | 25.8 | 27.8 | +2.0 | 52.0 | 0.526 | ||
| Fri Nov 13, 9:00 PM | Illinois | UCLA | 22.1 | 30.4 | +8.3 | 52.0 | 0.683 | +12.5 | |
| Fri Nov 13, 10:15 PM | Houston | Colorado | 33.2 | 22.2 | -11.0 | 55.0 | 0.258 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Utah | Arizona | 27.5 | 25.6 | -1.9 | 52.0 | 0.478 | -1.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Baylor | BYU | 23.4 | 29.2 | +5.9 | 52.0 | 0.625 | +7.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Missouri | Georgia | 19.8 | 32.1 | +12.3 | 51.0 | 0.777 | +12.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Purdue | Iowa | 18.9 | 35.7 | +16.8 | 54.0 | 0.859 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Cincinnati | Iowa State | 26.1 | 29.2 | +3.1 | 55.0 | 0.555 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Florida | Kentucky | 23.9 | 29.9 | +6.0 | 52.0 | 0.629 | +1.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Texas | LSU | 22.5 | 28.2 | +5.6 | 50.0 | 0.620 | +5.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Louisville | North Carolina | 28.0 | 25.0 | -3.0 | 52.0 | 0.450 | -2.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Ole Miss | Oklahoma | 29.2 | 24.5 | -4.7 | 52.0 | 0.398 | +4.0 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Texas Tech | Oklahoma State | 27.9 | 26.2 | -1.7 | 54.0 | 0.481 | -1.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Kansas State | TCU | 23.7 | 27.5 | +3.8 | 51.0 | 0.575 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Tennessee | Texas A&M | 22.9 | 28.8 | +5.9 | 51.0 | 0.624 | +8.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Arizona State | UCF | 24.3 | 26.7 | +2.5 | 51.0 | 0.538 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Stanford | Virginia Tech | 21.7 | 32.9 | +11.2 | 54.0 | 0.751 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 AM | Kansas | West Virginia | 30.1 | 27.9 | -2.2 | 58.0 | 0.470 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM | Wisconsin | Maryland | 26.4 | 21.3 | -5.1 | 47.0 | 0.388 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM | Duke | Miami | 20.6 | 36.5 | +15.8 | 56.0 | 0.837 | +21.0 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM | Auburn | Mississippi State | 26.3 | 28.1 | +1.8 | 54.0 | 0.523 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM | Syracuse | NC State | 25.4 | 31.0 | +5.6 | 55.0 | 0.622 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM | Northwestern | Ohio State | 22.5 | 33.3 | +10.9 | 55.0 | 0.741 | +9.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM | Wake Forest | SMU | 31.1 | 24.8 | -6.3 | 55.0 | 0.364 | -3.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM | James Madison | UConn | 28.8 | 25.7 | -3.2 | 54.0 | 0.444 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:30 PM | Georgia Tech | Clemson | 21.0 | 30.3 | +9.3 | 51.0 | 0.714 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:30 PM | Nebraska | Rutgers | 35.0 | 21.6 | -13.4 | 55.0 | 0.210 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 12:45 PM | Alabama | Vanderbilt | 33.9 | 20.0 | -13.9 | 53.0 | 0.194 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 1:00 PM | East Carolina | Charlotte | 31.9 | 18.1 | -13.8 | 49.0 | 0.191 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 1:00 PM | Arkansas State | Coastal Carolina | 26.7 | 26.6 | -0.1 | 52.0 | 0.528 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 1:00 PM | UAB | Temple | 24.9 | 26.9 | +2.0 | 51.0 | 0.527 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 2:00 PM | Tulane | Rice | 30.5 | 20.8 | -9.7 | 51.0 | 0.280 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 2:00 PM | Kennesaw State | Sam Houston | 29.5 | 21.3 | -8.2 | 50.0 | 0.315 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:00 PM | Florida International | Delaware | 22.7 | 29.7 | +7.1 | 52.0 | 0.655 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:00 PM | New Mexico State | Missouri State | 22.4 | 28.8 | +6.5 | 51.0 | 0.644 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | Georgia Southern | Georgia State | 28.3 | 28.4 | +0.1 | 55.0 | 0.475 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | USC | Indiana | 22.2 | 33.6 | +11.4 | 55.0 | 0.752 | +6.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | Middle Tennessee | Liberty | 17.0 | 37.3 | +20.3 | 54.0 | 0.901 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | Nevada | Northern Illinois | 22.5 | 26.7 | +4.2 | 48.0 | 0.587 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | Boston College | Notre Dame | 12.7 | 45.7 | +32.9 | 58.0 | 0.985 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | Michigan | Oregon | 20.1 | 29.8 | +9.7 | 49.0 | 0.723 | +5.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | Florida Atlantic | Tulsa | 23.5 | 33.4 | +9.9 | 56.0 | 0.719 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | California | Virginia | 19.9 | 32.1 | +12.2 | 51.0 | 0.773 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 3:30 PM | Jacksonville State | Western Kentucky | 29.7 | 23.9 | -5.7 | 52.0 | 0.377 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 4:00 PM | Fresno State | Texas State | 24.7 | 29.9 | +5.2 | 54.0 | 0.607 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 4:15 PM | Washington | Michigan State | 26.4 | 24.5 | -1.9 | 51.0 | 0.474 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 5:00 PM | Southern Miss | Louisiana Tech | 19.1 | 34.9 | +15.8 | 53.0 | 0.840 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 6:00 PM | Oregon State | Boise State | 24.7 | 35.1 | +10.3 | 59.0 | 0.728 | +4.5 | |
| Sat Nov 14, 6:00 PM | App State | Marshall | 24.5 | 28.4 | +4.0 | 52.0 | 0.578 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 7:00 PM | San José State | Air Force | 28.8 | 21.1 | -7.7 | 49.0 | 0.326 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 7:00 PM | Minnesota | Penn State | 19.6 | 31.8 | +12.2 | 51.0 | 0.774 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 7:00 PM | Troy | South Alabama | 23.4 | 31.3 | +7.9 | 54.0 | 0.675 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 7:30 PM | UNLV | New Mexico | 20.3 | 30.2 | +10.0 | 49.0 | 0.726 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 7:45 PM | South Carolina | Arkansas | 27.6 | 30.0 | +2.4 | 57.0 | 0.563 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 9:00 PM | North Texas | UTSA | 36.9 | 31.9 | -4.9 | 69.0 | 0.381 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 9:30 PM | Utah State | San Diego State | 19.5 | 23.3 | +3.8 | 42.0 | 0.605 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 10:00 PM | Wyoming | UTEP | 19.6 | 20.6 | +1.0 | 40.0 | 0.531 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 10:30 PM | Colorado State | Washington State | 16.9 | 40.0 | +23.1 | 56.0 | 0.940 | ||
| Sat Nov 14, 11:00 PM | North Dakota State | Hawai'i |
The scores come out of a drive-by-drive simulation of each game. Margin is the gap between the two projected scores, and Home win is how often the home team won the sim. Book is the sportsbook consensus spread, flipped to the same sign as our margin. Games more than ten days out aren't priced yet, so those cells stay blank. Every one of these gets graded on the matchups board. Model ncaaf-sim-1/11of20.