College Football Predictions — 2026 Week 3

75 of 75 games with an FBS team on the field are priced, last run Sep 27, 11:34 AM ET: our projected score for each side, the margin, the total and how often the home team wins it, next to the book's spread. Margin is home minus road, so a plus sign means we like the home team.

Download CSVSame rows, same order, one file per week.

Kickoff (ET)	Road	Home	Road pts	Home pts	Margin	Total	Home win	Book	Final
Thu Sep 17, 7:30 PM	Syracuse	Pittsburgh	16.2	25.9	+9.8	41.0	0.766	+10.5	13–27
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM	Miami	Wake Forest	33.0	20.2	-12.9	53.0	0.183	-20.5	33–20
Fri Sep 18, 8:00 PM	Houston	Texas Tech	24.5	25.2	+0.7	49.0	0.518	+7.5	26–28
Fri Sep 18, 10:30 PM	Portland StateFCS	Oregon	12.9	41.6	+28.7	54.0	0.980	+58.5	0–84
Sat Sep 19, 11:30 AM	Coastal Carolina	Delaware	21.0	24.6	+3.6	45.0	0.601	+5.5	14–22
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	Georgia	Arkansas	31.1	19.3	-11.8	50.0	0.200	-24.5	45–17
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	North Carolina	Clemson	20.3	20.0	-0.3	40.0	0.492	+3.0	20–28
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	MercerFCS	Georgia Tech	25.0	26.8	+1.8	51.0	0.551	+38.5	11–44
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	Bowling Green	Iowa State	15.3	27.6	+12.4	42.0	0.823	+23.5	7–55
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	Arizona State	Kansas	24.1	23.3	-0.8	47.0	0.473		24–17
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	Tulane	Kansas State	19.1	32.4	+13.3	51.0	0.828	+20.5	20–31
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	Akron	Minnesota	19.6	30.0	+10.3	49.0	0.767	+22.5	7–41
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	Kent State	Ohio State	13.2	38.3	+25.0	51.0	0.967	+51.5	3–59
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	Buffalo	Penn State	12.6	31.6	+19.0	44.0	0.925	+39.5	13–55
Sat Sep 19, 12:00 PM	North Texas	Texas State	33.0	36.4	+3.4	69.0	0.588	+3.0	35–49
Sat Sep 19, 12:30 PM	Eastern Michigan	Wisconsin	17.6	28.0	+10.5	44.0	0.778	+23.5	10–54
Sat Sep 19, 12:45 PM	NC State	Vanderbilt	25.6	27.0	+1.5	52.0	0.540	+3.0	31–35
Sat Sep 19, 1:00 PM	Wyoming	Central Michigan	19.6	19.8	+0.3	38.0	0.505	-1.5	10–24
Sat Sep 19, 2:00 PM	MaineFCS	Boston College	16.6	19.7	+3.0	36.0	0.593	+37.5	16–22
Sat Sep 19, 2:00 PM	Southern IllinoisFCS	Illinois	22.6	34.1	+11.5	56.0	0.785	+35.5	10–48
Sat Sep 19, 3:00 PM	Temple	Toledo	23.4	34.3	+11.0	57.0	0.776	+5.0	48–49
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	WagnerFCS	California	15.2	27.1	+11.9	41.0	0.816	+58.5	7–49
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	Miami (OH)	Cincinnati	24.0	32.6	+8.6	56.0	0.721	+14.5	31–35
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	SMU	Louisville	26.2	28.8	+2.6	54.0	0.569	+3.0	31–41
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	StonehillFCS	Massachusetts	16.4	26.2	+9.8	41.0	0.770	+31.0	14–36
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	UTEP	Michigan	15.3	34.7	+19.4	49.0	0.919	+34.5	17–52
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	USC	Rutgers	34.6	30.9	-3.7	65.0	0.404	-21.5	42–35
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	Utah State	Utah	14.6	31.1	+16.5	45.0	0.889	+26.5	0–33
Sat Sep 19, 3:30 PM	DuquesneFCS	Washington State	17.8	25.1	+7.4	42.0	0.711	+38.5	7–48
Sat Sep 19, 3:40 PM	Kentucky	Texas A&M	22.0	24.1	+2.1	45.0	0.560	+16.5	31–21
Sat Sep 19, 4:00 PM	Louisiana Tech	Baylor	17.4	22.1	+4.6	39.0	0.640	+19.5	19–36
Sat Sep 19, 4:00 PM	Stanford	Duke	17.1	33.3	+16.3	50.0	0.875	+9.5	7–35
Sat Sep 19, 4:00 PM	Western Kentucky	Indiana	15.4	43.3	+27.9	58.0	0.977	+44.5	0–38
Sat Sep 19, 4:00 PM	Northern IowaFCS	Iowa	17.2	30.8	+13.6	47.0	0.838	+37.5	0–55
Sat Sep 19, 4:00 PM	Ball State	Liberty	15.8	34.6	+18.8	50.0	0.915	+14.5	15–51
Sat Sep 19, 4:30 PM	SE LouisianaFCS	UL Monroe	24.7	25.6	+0.9	50.0	0.526	+9.5	38–35
Sat Sep 19, 5:15 PM	Florida State	Alabama	22.9	34.7	+11.8	57.0	0.789	+18.5	36–50
Sat Sep 19, 5:35 PM	Mississippi State	South Carolina	29.7	26.3	-3.4	55.0	0.407	+3.0	41–34
Sat Sep 19, 6:00 PM	Florida International	Florida Atlantic	23.0	22.5	-0.6	44.0	0.485	+4.5	10–16
Sat Sep 19, 6:00 PM	East Carolina	Old Dominion	16.6	17.0	+0.4	33.0	0.514	+2.5	20–17
Sat Sep 19, 6:30 PM	Marshall	Missouri State	24.5	28.5	+4.0	52.0	0.609	-4.0	30–24
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Florida	Auburn	31.0	25.9	-5.1	56.0	0.363	-2.5	44–39
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Georgia Southern	Jacksonville State	23.2	32.2	+9.0	55.0	0.734	+3.5	27–31
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	UT MartinFCS	Memphis	22.3	41.4	+19.1	63.0	0.903	+33.5	21–45
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Nevada	Middle Tennessee	22.7	23.9	+1.3	46.0	0.535	-3.5	20–27
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Troy	Missouri	17.7	22.6	+4.9	40.0	0.642	+27.0	17–27
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Murray StateFCS	Oklahoma State	12.8	39.7	+26.9	52.0	0.976	+56.5	0–59
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Western Michigan	Rice	25.4	17.0	-8.4	41.0	0.265	-8.5	28–21
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	NichollsFCS	Sam Houston	14.1	28.9	+14.9	43.0	0.870	+21.0	0–59
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Ohio	South Alabama	24.0	31.5	+7.5	55.0	0.701	+7.0	36–41
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Delaware StateFCS	South Florida	18.8	28.4	+9.6	47.0	0.759	+36.5	17–59
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	UConn	Southern Miss	25.2	24.0	-1.2	48.0	0.472	-3.5	48–20
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM	Georgia State	UCF	20.0	25.8	+5.8	45.0	0.661	+17.5	30–44
Sat Sep 19, 7:15 PM	North DakotaFCS	Nebraska	18.8	30.3	+11.5	48.0	0.794	+27.5	7–34
Sat Sep 19, 7:15 PM	Eastern WashingtonFCS	Washington	17.6	27.8	+10.1	44.0	0.769	+42.5	16–48
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM	Virginia Tech	Maryland	21.9	21.1	-0.9	42.0	0.476	-2.5	35–26
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM	Colorado	Northwestern	17.3	32.2	+14.8	48.0	0.856	+3.5	7–41
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM	Michigan State	Notre Dame	13.5	33.4	+19.8	47.0	0.932	+28.5	10–27
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM	New Mexico	Oklahoma	19.0	19.0	0.0	37.0	0.497	+21.5	6–14
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM	LSU	Ole Miss	25.5	22.5	-3.0	47.0	0.417	-3.0	24–32
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM	West Virginia	Virginia	19.8	31.1	+11.3	50.0	0.789	+8.5	38–27
Sat Sep 19, 7:45 PM	Kennesaw State	Tennessee	19.6	33.7	+14.2	52.0	0.842	+35.5	9–42
Sat Sep 19, 8:00 PM	UAB	Louisiana	15.4	27.8	+12.4	43.0	0.823	+6.5	14–21
Sat Sep 19, 8:00 PM	Arkansas State	TCU	17.1	28.9	+11.8	45.0	0.808	+18.5	7–31
Sat Sep 19, 8:00 PM	UTSA	Texas	15.1	28.7	+13.5	43.0	0.841	+30.0	6–30
Sat Sep 19, 8:00 PM	East Texas A&MFCS	Tulsa	15.1	23.3	+8.2	37.0	0.738	+41.5	0–42
Sat Sep 19, 8:15 PM	BYU	Colorado State	33.0	25.0	-8.0	58.0	0.289	-17.5	41–23
Sat Sep 19, 9:30 PM	Charlotte	App State	16.6	31.2	+14.6	47.0	0.857	+15.5	21–26
Sat Sep 19, 10:00 PM	South DakotaFCS	Boise State	27.1	33.1	+6.0	60.0	0.656	+27.5	24–38
Sat Sep 19, 10:00 PM	James Madison	San Diego State	28.1	16.2	-11.9	44.0	0.187	+1.5	26–13
Sat Sep 19, 10:30 PM	Northern Illinois	Arizona	17.0	28.3	+11.4	44.0	0.794	+34.5	17–42
Sat Sep 19, 10:30 PM	North Dakota State	Sacramento State	26.9	15.0	-11.9	41.0	0.184	-26.5	31–10
Sat Sep 19, 11:00 PM	MontanaFCS	Oregon State	25.4	28.5	+3.1	54.0	0.583	+16.5	17–52
Sat Sep 19, 11:00 PM	Fresno State	San José State	21.4	18.7	-2.6	40.0	0.419	-4.5	26–10
Sat Sep 19, 11:00 PM	Purdue	UCLA	22.6	35.1	+12.6	57.0	0.803	+13.5	38–52

The scores come out of a drive-by-drive simulation of each game. Margin is the gap between the two projected scores, and Home win is how often the home team won the sim. Book is the sportsbook consensus spread, flipped to the same sign as our margin. Games more than ten days out aren't priced yet, so those cells stay blank. Every one of these gets graded on the matchups board. Model ncaaf-sim-1/11of20.