College Football Predictions — 2026 Week 6
58 of 58 games with an FBS team on the field are priced, last run Oct 18, 9:26 AM ET: our projected score for each side, the margin, the total and how often the home team wins it, next to the book's spread. Margin is home minus road, so a plus sign means we like the home team.
Download CSVSame rows, same order, one file per week.
| Kickoff (ET) | Road | Home | Road pts | Home pts | Margin | Total | Home win | Book | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 6, 8:00 PM | Southern Miss | Troy | 21.1 | 26.7 | +5.6 | 47.0 | 0.655 | +9.5 | 34–55 |
| Wed Oct 7, 7:00 PM | Jacksonville State | Kennesaw State | 27.4 | 25.9 | -1.6 | 52.0 | 0.457 | -3.0 | 27–26 |
| Wed Oct 7, 8:04 PM | New Mexico State | Florida International | 16.1 | 22.7 | +6.6 | 38.0 | 0.694 | +7.0 | 3–22 |
| Thu Oct 8, 7:00 PM | Sam Houston | Liberty | 15.2 | 27.0 | +11.7 | 41.0 | 0.812 | +13.5 | 3–35 |
| Thu Oct 8, 7:00 PM | Missouri State | Western Kentucky | 21.0 | 25.3 | +4.3 | 45.0 | 0.619 | -1.5 | 13–34 |
| Thu Oct 8, 7:30 PM | South Alabama | Arkansas State | 32.3 | 28.9 | -3.4 | 61.0 | 0.409 | +3.0 | 56–49 |
| Thu Oct 8, 7:30 PM | South Florida | UTSA | 26.9 | 23.7 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 0.411 | +5.5 | 24–31 |
| Fri Oct 9, 7:00 PM | Florida State | Louisville | 26.7 | 32.6 | +5.9 | 58.0 | 0.655 | +4.0 | 20–44 |
| Fri Oct 9, 9:00 PM | Wyoming | San José State | 19.1 | 22.4 | +3.2 | 41.0 | 0.591 | +4.5 | 16–13 |
| Fri Oct 9, 9:00 PM | Washington State | Utah State | 17.1 | 19.7 | +2.7 | 36.0 | 0.581 | +4.0 | 16–17 |
| Fri Oct 9, 9:00 PM | Iowa | Washington | 25.7 | 20.6 | -5.1 | 46.0 | 0.356 | +3.0 | 41–24 |
| Fri Oct 9, 10:30 PM | Iowa State | BYU | 20.2 | 28.6 | +8.4 | 48.0 | 0.722 | +11.5 | 10–24 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | Tulane | Army | 22.9 | 23.0 | +0.2 | 45.0 | 0.505 | +4.0 | 17–20 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | Sacramento State | Bowling Green | 17.0 | 25.8 | +8.8 | 42.0 | 0.741 | +9.5 | 10–38 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | Texas A&M | Missouri | 20.4 | 19.0 | -1.4 | 38.0 | 0.457 | +4.5 | 6–27 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | Wake Forest | NC State | 33.1 | 24.9 | -8.3 | 58.0 | 0.285 | -3.5 | 38–14 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | Indiana | Nebraska | 27.3 | 23.3 | -3.9 | 50.0 | 0.389 | -8.5 | 20–17 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | UCF | Oklahoma State | 20.3 | 26.4 | +6.1 | 46.0 | 0.669 | +10.5 | 28–42 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | North Carolina | Pittsburgh | 19.3 | 24.3 | +5.1 | 43.0 | 0.643 | +3.5 | 21–17 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:00 PM | Arizona | West Virginia | 32.6 | 26.1 | -6.5 | 58.0 | 0.330 | -3.5 | 52–31 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:30 PM | Ball State | Northwestern | 17.5 | 44.3 | +26.8 | 61.0 | 0.970 | +35.0 | 14–45 |
| Sat Oct 10, 12:45 PM | South Carolina | Florida | 27.3 | 32.3 | +5.0 | 59.0 | 0.630 | +10.5 | 38–19 |
| Sat Oct 10, 1:00 PM | Old Dominion | App State | 17.1 | 21.7 | +4.6 | 38.0 | 0.637 | +9.5 | 10–3 |
| Sat Oct 10, 1:00 PM | Rice | East Carolina | 12.1 | 24.1 | +12.0 | 36.0 | 0.834 | +10.0 | 12–28 |
| Sat Oct 10, 2:00 PM | Miami (OH) | Massachusetts | 21.4 | 23.2 | +1.8 | 44.0 | 0.551 | -6.0 | 20–19 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Eastern Michigan | Akron | 23.2 | 22.2 | -1.0 | 44.0 | 0.469 | -5.5 | 25–23 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Virginia Tech | California | 23.0 | 22.0 | -1.0 | 44.0 | 0.472 | -10.0 | 20–25 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Duke | Georgia Tech | 29.8 | 26.2 | -3.6 | 55.0 | 0.402 | -4.5 | 25–28 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Houston | Kansas State | 29.9 | 28.4 | -1.4 | 58.0 | 0.461 | +2.5 | 35–16 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Illinois | Michigan State | 29.7 | 27.0 | -2.6 | 56.0 | 0.426 | -2.5 | 38–37 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Tulsa | Navy | 27.0 | 25.2 | -1.8 | 51.0 | 0.450 | +3.0 | 26–34 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Charlotte | North Texas | 16.4 | 40.2 | +23.7 | 56.0 | 0.953 | +27.5 | 10–50 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Stanford | Notre Dame | 13.3 | 40.4 | +27.1 | 53.0 | 0.976 | +39.5 | 7–58 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Central Michigan | Ohio | 18.6 | 27.8 | +9.2 | 46.0 | 0.749 | +2.5 | 14–31 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Texas | Oklahoma | 19.8 | 16.8 | -3.0 | 36.0 | 0.406 | -7.5 | 24–27 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | UCLA | Oregon | 17.3 | 21.6 | +4.3 | 38.0 | 0.629 | +10.5 | 17–15 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Buffalo | Toledo | 17.4 | 27.0 | +9.6 | 44.0 | 0.759 | +18.5 | 23–8 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Ole Miss | Vanderbilt | 33.0 | 23.6 | -9.4 | 56.0 | 0.263 | -9.5 | 52–17 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM | Kent State | Western Michigan | 15.4 | 28.2 | +12.8 | 43.0 | 0.832 | +13.5 | 7–38 |
| Sat Oct 10, 3:45 PM | UConn | Temple | 31.8 | 29.7 | -2.0 | 61.0 | 0.449 | +3.5 | 34–20 |
| Sat Oct 10, 4:15 PM | Tennessee | Arkansas | 26.2 | 19.4 | -6.8 | 44.0 | 0.316 | -13.5 | 24–17 |
| Sat Oct 10, 4:15 PM | Maryland | Ohio State | 14.2 | 34.0 | +19.8 | 48.0 | 0.926 | +31.5 | 16–45 |
| Sat Oct 10, 6:00 PM | San Diego State | Oregon State | 15.6 | 34.2 | +18.7 | 49.0 | 0.913 | +15.0 | 14–66 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:00 PM | LSU | Kentucky | 27.0 | 18.5 | -8.5 | 44.5 | 0.265 | -9.5 | 34–35 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:00 PM | Coastal Carolina | Marshall | 23.6 | 25.8 | +2.2 | 48.0 | 0.562 | +4.5 | 27–21 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:00 PM | UAB | Memphis | 18.7 | 30.2 | +11.5 | 48.0 | 0.792 | +15.5 | 13–38 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:00 PM | North Dakota State | UNLV | 19.3 | 17.7 | -1.6 | 37.0 | 0.450 | -2.5 | 7–13 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:00 PM | Nevada | UTEP | 27.1 | 16.9 | -10.1 | 44.0 | 0.227 | -9.5 | 30–13 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM | Georgia | Alabama | 26.2 | 25.1 | -1.1 | 51.0 | 0.470 | +2.5 | 20–17 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM | Louisiana | Louisiana Tech | 22.2 | 19.9 | -2.4 | 41.0 | 0.429 | +3.0 | 31–32 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM | Air Force | Northern Illinois | 13.1 | 22.3 | +9.1 | 34.0 | 0.765 | -7.0 | 28–7 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM | USC | Penn State | 27.6 | 31.3 | +3.7 | 58.0 | 0.596 | -1.0 | 31–23 |
| Sat Oct 10, 7:30 PM | Syracuse | Virginia | 17.7 | 25.5 | +7.7 | 43.0 | 0.715 | +13.5 | 25–28 |
| Sat Oct 10, 8:00 PM | Minnesota | Purdue | 25.2 | 29.4 | +4.1 | 54.0 | 0.609 | -2.5 | 13–41 |
| Sat Oct 10, 8:00 PM | Kansas | Utah | 19.3 | 31.2 | +11.9 | 50.0 | 0.798 | +15.5 | 24–41 |
| Sat Oct 10, 8:10 PM | James Madison | Georgia Southern | 31.1 | 24.7 | -6.4 | 55.0 | 0.332 | -7.0 | 27–24 |
| Sat Oct 10, 10:30 PM | Hawai'i | Arizona State | 20.3 | 27.8 | +7.5 | 47.0 | 0.706 | +20.5 | 12–30 |
| Sat Oct 10, 10:30 PM | Boise State | Fresno State | 28.5 | 25.0 | -3.6 | 53.0 | 0.400 | -8.5 | 38–31 |
The scores come out of a drive-by-drive simulation of each game. Margin is the gap between the two projected scores, and Home win is how often the home team won the sim. Book is the sportsbook consensus spread, flipped to the same sign as our margin. Games more than ten days out aren't priced yet, so those cells stay blank. Every one of these gets graded on the matchups board. Model ncaaf-sim-1/11of20.