College Football Predictions — 2026 Week 4
71 of 71 games with an FBS team on the field are priced, last run Oct 3, 8:57 PM ET: our projected score for each side, the margin, the total and how often the home team wins it, next to the book's spread. Margin is home minus road, so a plus sign means we like the home team.
Download CSVSame rows, same order, one file per week.
| Kickoff (ET) | Road | Home | Road pts | Home pts | Margin | Total | Home win | Book | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Sep 24, 7:30 PM | Liberty | Coastal Carolina | 24.2 | 19.0 | -5.2 | 43.0 | 0.353 | -2.5 | 34–17 |
| Fri Sep 25, 4:00 PM | Army | Temple | 30.9 | 27.4 | -3.6 | 58.0 | 0.404 | -3.5 | 21–17 |
| Fri Sep 25, 7:00 PM | HowardFCS | Rutgers | 16.0 | 33.6 | +17.6 | 48.0 | 0.898 | +41.5 | 7–58 |
| Fri Sep 25, 7:00 PM | Navy | UAB | 21.8 | 26.1 | +4.3 | 47.0 | 0.616 | -6.5 | 20–24 |
| Fri Sep 25, 8:00 PM | Northwestern | Indiana | 23.3 | 35.1 | +11.8 | 58.0 | 0.790 | +20.5 | 23–29 |
| Fri Sep 25, 10:30 PM | Clemson | California | 17.2 | 22.1 | +4.9 | 38.0 | 0.646 | -2.5 | 24–10 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | UNLV | Akron | 25.4 | 21.2 | -4.1 | 46.0 | 0.380 | -13.5 | 38–10 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Colorado | Baylor | 16.7 | 24.0 | +7.3 | 40.0 | 0.708 | +8.5 | 13–23 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Virginia Tech | Boston College | 24.5 | 18.9 | -5.7 | 43.0 | 0.342 | -14.5 | 21–14 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Ball State | Kent State | 20.5 | 24.6 | +4.1 | 44.0 | 0.617 | +2.5 | 13–26 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Wake Forest | Louisville | 25.1 | 30.1 | +5.0 | 54.0 | 0.636 | +11.5 | 30–27 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Illinois | Ohio State | 23.2 | 35.0 | +11.8 | 58.0 | 0.793 | +26.0 | 19–42 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | BucknellFCS | Pittsburgh | 11.7 | 31.8 | +20.2 | 43.0 | 0.939 | +54.5 | 0–59 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Texas | Tennessee | 24.0 | 23.2 | -0.8 | 47.0 | 0.473 | -5.5 | 20–17 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Sam Houston | Texas Tech | 15.4 | 25.4 | +10.0 | 40.0 | 0.776 | +34.5 | 14–49 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | San Diego State | Toledo | 15.8 | 30.2 | +14.4 | 45.0 | 0.856 | +2.5 | 16–41 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM | Colorado State | UTSA | 24.9 | 30.0 | +5.0 | 54.0 | 0.633 | +14.5 | 45–59 |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:45 PM | South Alabama | Kentucky | 21.8 | 29.4 | +7.6 | 51.0 | 0.705 | +20.5 | 21–45 |
| Sat Sep 26, 1:00 PM | LindenwoodFCS | Eastern Michigan | 20.2 | 26.9 | +6.6 | 47.0 | 0.682 | +24.5 | 3–29 |
| Sat Sep 26, 1:30 PM | UCLA | Maryland | 22.0 | 20.2 | -1.7 | 41.0 | 0.448 | -2.5 | 54–3 |
| Sat Sep 26, 2:00 PM | Northern Illinois | Georgia State | 18.6 | 30.0 | +11.4 | 48.0 | 0.795 | +8.5 | 14–35 |
| Sat Sep 26, 2:00 PM | Notre Dame | Purdue | 37.7 | 17.8 | -19.9 | 55.0 | 0.082 | -27.5 | 49–10 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:00 PM | Central ArkansasFCS | Florida State | 20.9 | 32.8 | +11.9 | 53.0 | 0.799 | +45.5 | 7–34 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:00 PM | Hawai'i | Wyoming | 20.7 | 24.1 | +3.4 | 44.0 | 0.601 | -2.5 | 10–27 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | Robert MorrisFCS | Buffalo | 19.6 | 18.8 | -0.8 | 37.0 | 0.474 | +27.5 | 28–31 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | William & MaryFCS | Duke | 16.2 | 37.4 | +21.2 | 53.0 | 0.935 | 7–62 | |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | Ole Miss | Florida | 28.3 | 35.5 | +7.3 | 63.0 | 0.687 | +4.0 | 28–52 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | Oklahoma | Georgia | 16.4 | 26.4 | +10.0 | 42.0 | 0.771 | +12.5 | 13–41 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | Utah | Iowa State | 27.4 | 20.8 | -6.6 | 47.0 | 0.322 | -7.5 | 31–17 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | Gardner-WebbFCS | Marshall | 24.4 | 24.2 | -0.2 | 48.0 | 0.492 | +24.5 | 35–36 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | UConn | Miami (OH) | 27.1 | 29.2 | +2.1 | 55.0 | 0.557 | +2.5 | 21–24 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | Iowa | Michigan | 20.6 | 21.8 | +1.1 | 41.0 | 0.536 | +5.5 | 20–19 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | New Mexico | New Mexico State | 25.5 | 18.9 | -6.6 | 44.0 | 0.312 | -11.5 | 42–18 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | StonehillFCS | Ohio | 21.0 | 25.4 | +4.4 | 45.0 | 0.624 | +32.5 | 7–35 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | TCU | UCF | 19.3 | 20.3 | +1.1 | 39.0 | 0.532 | -3.5 | 13–21 |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM | Boise State | Western Michigan | 26.4 | 23.3 | -3.1 | 49.0 | 0.417 | -8.5 | 32–7 |
| Sat Sep 26, 4:00 PM | North Carolina CentralFCS | East Carolina | 15.5 | 21.8 | +6.2 | 37.0 | 0.687 | +37.5 | 9–42 |
| Sat Sep 26, 4:00 PM | Houston | Georgia Southern | 34.8 | 22.9 | -11.9 | 57.0 | 0.207 | -17.5 | 42–28 |
| Sat Sep 26, 4:15 PM | Vanderbilt | Auburn | 25.2 | 25.3 | +0.1 | 50.0 | 0.503 | +9.5 | 15–21 |
| Sat Sep 26, 5:00 PM | South Florida | Bowling Green | 25.8 | 18.6 | -7.2 | 44.0 | 0.297 | -18.5 | 14–6 |
| Sat Sep 26, 5:00 PM | Nebraska | Michigan State | 28.9 | 19.8 | -9.1 | 48.0 | 0.259 | -6.0 | 31–13 |
| Sat Sep 26, 5:00 PM | Wisconsin | Penn State | 17.9 | 26.1 | +8.1 | 43.0 | 0.726 | +10.0 | 24–20 |
| Sat Sep 26, 6:00 PM | Long Island UniversityFCS | Florida International | 14.5 | 26.5 | +12.1 | 40.0 | 0.822 | +37.5 | 3–20 |
| Sat Sep 26, 6:00 PM | James Madison | Old Dominion | 23.7 | 18.7 | -5.0 | 41.0 | 0.357 | -7.0 | 46–20 |
| Sat Sep 26, 6:00 PM | Incarnate WordFCS | Texas State | 23.7 | 35.2 | +11.5 | 58.0 | 0.785 | +30.5 | 10–63 |
| Sat Sep 26, 6:00 PM | Delaware | Virginia | 15.3 | 29.4 | +14.2 | 44.0 | 0.853 | +19.5 | 3–42 |
| Sat Sep 26, 6:30 PM | Louisiana | Charlotte | 25.5 | 13.5 | -12.0 | 38.0 | 0.175 | -10.5 | 34–7 |
| Sat Sep 26, 6:30 PM | Central Michigan | Miami | 12.7 | 34.9 | +22.1 | 47.0 | 0.950 | +41.5 | 3–52 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM | Kennesaw State | Arkansas State | 22.8 | 24.9 | +2.2 | 47.0 | 0.559 | +6.5 | 14–17 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM | Kansas State | Cincinnati | 26.5 | 26.1 | -0.4 | 51.0 | 0.490 | -6.5 | 26–31 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM | Middle Tennessee | Jacksonville State | 22.2 | 30.8 | +8.7 | 52.0 | 0.726 | +7.0 | 13–23 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM | Southern Miss | Tulane | 21.6 | 24.6 | +3.0 | 46.0 | 0.586 | +17.5 | 21–24 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM | Oklahoma State | West Virginia | 27.3 | 24.8 | -2.6 | 51.0 | 0.427 | +1.5 | 41–24 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:00 PM | MercyhurstFCS | Western Kentucky | 17.4 | 28.2 | +10.8 | 45.0 | 0.785 | +39.5 | 7–52 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:10 PM | South Carolina | Alabama | 20.1 | 32.9 | +12.8 | 52.0 | 0.819 | +12.5 | 18–49 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM | Texas A&M | LSU | 16.9 | 23.8 | +6.9 | 40.0 | 0.699 | +8.5 | 6–35 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM | App State | NC State | 23.9 | 30.4 | +6.5 | 54.0 | 0.677 | +12.5 | 31–41 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM | Houston ChristianFCS | North Texas | 22.9 | 32.4 | +9.5 | 55.0 | 0.745 | +38.5 | 14–63 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM | Oregon | USC | 32.1 | 29.5 | -2.6 | 61.0 | 0.432 | -3.5 | 41–27 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM | Troy | Utah State | 19.2 | 18.1 | -1.1 | 37.0 | 0.463 | +2.5 | 10–21 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM | Arizona | Washington State | 23.6 | 19.0 | -4.5 | 41.0 | 0.368 | -10.5 | 34–24 |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:45 PM | Missouri | Mississippi State | 22.6 | 27.5 | +4.9 | 50.0 | 0.635 | +3.5 | 24–31 |
| Sat Sep 26, 8:00 PM | Tulsa | Arkansas | 20.8 | 24.3 | +3.5 | 44.0 | 0.601 | +6.5 | 6–34 |
| Sat Sep 26, 8:00 PM | Florida Atlantic | UL Monroe | 26.9 | 25.7 | -1.2 | 51.0 | 0.467 | -11.5 | 45–17 |
| Sat Sep 26, 9:00 PM | Massachusetts | Sacramento State | 23.4 | 18.5 | -4.9 | 41.0 | 0.357 | -5.5 | 35–6 |
| Sat Sep 26, 9:00 PM | Missouri State | SMU | 20.5 | 32.0 | +11.6 | 51.0 | 0.796 | +30.5 | 24–34 |
| Sat Sep 26, 9:00 PM | Oregon State | UTEP | 30.0 | 19.4 | -10.6 | 48.0 | 0.226 | -11.5 | 33–7 |
| Sat Sep 26, 10:00 PM | Rice | Fresno State | 13.8 | 27.9 | +14.1 | 41.0 | 0.857 | +12.5 | 24–38 |
| Sat Sep 26, 10:30 PM | Air Force | Nevada | 24.6 | 24.5 | -0.1 | 48.0 | 0.500 | -5.5 | 36–33 |
| Sat Sep 26, 10:30 PM | Georgia Tech | Stanford | 27.3 | 25.2 | -2.1 | 51.0 | 0.440 | -3.0 | 27–34 |
| Sat Sep 26, 11:00 PM | Minnesota | Washington | 21.0 | 26.7 | +5.8 | 47.0 | 0.661 | +11.5 | 27–24 |
The scores come out of a drive-by-drive simulation of each game. Margin is the gap between the two projected scores, and Home win is how often the home team won the sim. Book is the sportsbook consensus spread, flipped to the same sign as our margin. Games more than ten days out aren't priced yet, so those cells stay blank. Every one of these gets graded on the matchups board. Model ncaaf-sim-1/11of20.