MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day
Tutorials WizBoard

Bundesliga Match Board — Saturday, September 19, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Saturday, September 19, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · how the model graded
2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 39 of 45 on ML, 18 of 45 on Over 2.5, 39 of 45 on BTTS.

Saturday, September 19

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 2–1
Proj1.7–1.5
Match page →
HSVHamburg SVHOME✓39%1.7proj+153fair—mkt—
Draw25%—proj+292fair—mkt—
KOEFC CologneAWAY35%1.5proj+185fair—mkt—
O2.5 62% ✓BTTS 65% ✓1H O1.5 42% ✓
Fandango
FT · 3–4
Proj1.5–1.5
Match page →
BMGBorussia MönchengladbachHOME✗38%1.5proj+163fair+238mktModel lean+8.5%
Draw27%—proj+277fair+281mkt+0.2%
M05MainzAWAY35%1.5proj+182fair+126mkt-8.8%
O2.5 58% · mkt 59% ✓BTTS 61% · mkt 63% ✓1H O1.5 39% · mkt 41% ✗
Fandango
FT · 2–2
Proj2.1–1.9
Match page →
SGEEintracht FrankfurtHOME✗42%2.1proj+135fair+169mktModel lean+5.4%
Draw22%—proj+352fair+288mkt-3.6%
SCFSC FreiburgAWAY35%1.9proj+182fair+170mkt-1.6%
O2.5 76% ✓BTTS 75% · mkt 66% ✓1H O1.5 54% · mkt 43% ✓
Fandango
FT · 3–2
Proj1.5–1.5
Match page →
SVWWerder BremenHOME36%1.5proj+177fair+143mkt-5.0%
Draw26%—proj+279fair+300mkt+1.4%
FCAFC AugsburgAWAY✗38%1.5proj+166fair+197mkt+4.0%
O2.5 58% ✓BTTS 62% · mkt 68% ✓1H O1.5 40% · mkt 45% ✓
Fandango
FT · 0–1
Proj1.8–1.7
Match page →
VFBVfB StuttgartHOME✗39%1.8proj+155fair+154mkt-0.2%
Draw24%—proj+318fair+305mkt-0.8%
DORBorussia DortmundAWAY37%1.7proj+171fair+180mkt+1.2%
O2.5 69% ✗BTTS 70% · mkt 73% ✗1H O1.5 48% · mkt 48% ✓
Fandango

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).