MatchWiz

Bundesliga Match Board — Friday, October 16, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Friday, October 16, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 39 of 45 on ML, 18 of 45 on Over 2.5, 39 of 45 on BTTS.

Friday, October 16

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
2:30 PM ET
Proj2.4–1.6
Match page →
SGEEintracht FrankfurtHOME54%2.4proj-117fair—mkt—
Draw21%—proj+381fair—mkt—
KOEFC CologneAWAY25%1.6proj+296fair—mkt—
O2.5 77%BTTS 74%1H O1.5 54%

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).