Bundesliga Match Board — Saturday, October 17, 2026

Every Bundesliga match on Saturday, October 17, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 39 of 45 on ML, 18 of 45 on Over 2.5, 39 of 45 on BTTS.

Saturday, October 17

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.2–2.1

Match page →

1. FC Union BerlinHOME20%1.2proj+393fair+392mkt-0.0%

Draw23%—proj+336fair+360mkt+1.2%

Borussia DortmundAWAY57%2.1proj-131fair-138mkt-1.3%

O2.5 63%BTTS 61%1H O1.5 43%

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.5–2.0

Match page →

Hamburg SVHOME28%1.5proj+263fair+290mkt+1.9%

Draw24%—proj+324fair+339mkt+0.8%

VfB StuttgartAWAY49%2.0proj+105fair-105mkt-2.4%

O2.5 67%BTTS 67%1H O1.5 46%

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.6–1.2

Match page →

Schalke 04HOME46%1.6proj+119fair+201mktModel lean+12.6%

Draw27%—proj+276fair+286mkt+0.7%

MainzAWAY28%1.2proj+261fair+143mkt-13.5%

O2.5 55% · mkt 59%BTTS 58%1H O1.5 37%

9:30 AM ET

Proj2.0–1.5

Match page →

SV ElversbergHOME49%2.0proj+106fair+158mktModel lean+9.8%

Draw23%—proj+326fair+301mkt-1.5%

FC AugsburgAWAY28%1.5proj+259fair+174mkt-8.6%

O2.5 68%BTTS 68%1H O1.5 47%

9:30 AM ET

Proj1.6–1.0

Match page →

Werder BremenHOME50%1.6proj-101fair-108mkt-1.8%

Draw27%—proj+267fair+322mkt+3.5%

SC Paderborn 07AWAY23%1.0proj+343fair+311mkt-1.8%

O2.5 49%BTTS 52%1H O1.5 33%

12:30 PM ET

Proj3.0–1.3

Match page →

Bayern MunichHOME71%3.0proj-245fair-331mkt-5.8%

Draw16%—proj+539fair+691mkt+3.0%

RB LeipzigAWAY13%1.3proj+651fair+849mkt+2.8%

O2.5 81%BTTS 71%1H O1.5 59%

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).